Quick test to determine whether you're tribal: Did you secretly hope that Trump's talks with Kim would go badly wrong and make him look like a twit? If yes, the chances are you're tribal. If no, you might not be. (You probably still are though).
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Second, it literally is a test with zero power if we agree on what I said previously (to which you at least agreed arguendo, as you responded “how does that make it...”). It has zero probability of rejecting H0 (non-tribal) if H1 (tribal) is true. 2/
Nonsense. You need to read more carefully. I said *secret* - you said evidence. Your lack of evidence is entirely compatible with my secret. I used the word secret for a reason. I'm perfectly well aware that people tend to make a show of hoping peace efforts go well.
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So it is an assertion based on no evidence and, moreover, assuming that no evidence can be gathered. How is that sensible? It’s like a religious claim.
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Eh? It's not a poll. It's a self-test. If you lie to yourself, then yeah, it's hopeless. But if you don't, then it's low power, high certainty. I'm not asserting anything other than the fact if you secretly want peace talks to fail, you're tribal.
End of conversation
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