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PaulBlustein's profile
Paul Blustein
Paul Blustein
Paul Blustein
@PaulBlustein

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Paul Blustein

@PaulBlustein

Ex-newspaper guy (WaPo, WSJ) turned book author; Latest book: SCHISM; Sr Fellow @cigionline; Sr Associate @CSIS_Econ (non-resident)--to wit, I live in Japan.

Kamakura, Japan
paulblustein.com
Joined February 2012

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    Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

    Now that 10 years have passed since the #Fukushima meltdown, I wonder: are the doomsayers having guilt pangs? They should. It’s clearer than ever that their scaremongering was grossly misguided, and inflicted severe harm. Start w/this superb article.🧵https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/03/physician-has-studied-fukushima-disaster-decade-and-found-surprising-health-threat …

    3:55 AM - 10 Mar 2021
    • 72 Retweets
    • 153 Likes
    • Thomas Hansen (((Matthew McDonough))) David Boyer Arshad Karim Patrick Burr Rob Loveday 🛹 sopomun💉fully vaxxed Emily
    3 replies 72 retweets 153 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        People in Fukushima are suffering—but not from cancer, or other physiological illness caused by radiation. Rather, it’s stress and stress-related problems. That’s the finding by Masaharu Tsubokura, the heroic doctor profiled in the story. 2/pic.twitter.com/ssyoCtIYrU

        1 reply 4 retweets 25 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        And there’s a newly-released, exhaustive survey of the evidence. 3/https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/mar/10/fukushima-meltdown-did-not-damage-health-un-japan …

        1 reply 4 retweets 18 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        A few of the report’s findings: “No reports of an excess in the incidence of childhood or adult leukemia among Fukushima residents.” “No credible evidence of excess congenital anomalies, stillbirths, preterm deliveries or low birthweights related to radiation exposure.” 4/

        1 reply 5 retweets 18 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        Thyroid cancer has been found in a couple of hundred Fukushima children, according to the report. Isn’t that proof the scaremongers were right? Nope, not if you “follow the science,” as we’re being sensibly exhorted these days. 5/

        1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        Several screenings involving 200,000-300,000 Fukushima kids were undertaken, using super-sensitive ultrasound. Although thyroid abnormalities were quite high, similar incidence was found when those new diagnostic procedures were used elsewhere in Japan and Korea. 6/

        1 reply 1 retweet 13 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        In other words, the explanation for the thyroid issues is almost certainly enhanced diagnosis—which might well be called over-diagnosis, since thyroid cancer (ominous as it may sound) is relatively easy to treat. For more info: 7/ https://www.unscear.org/docs/publications/2020/UNSCEAR_2020_AnnexB_AdvanceCopy.pdf …

        1 reply 1 retweet 13 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        In any event, all this contrasts starkly with the predictions that were emanating from the anti-nuclear movement in the months after the disaster. Several prominent “experts” claimed that as many as 1 million would die from the effects of radiation. 8/

        1 reply 1 retweet 16 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        “An epidemic of cancer!” predicted Dr. Helen Caldicott, who claimed (falsely) that Chernobyl caused “close to 1 million deaths…from cancers, congenital deformities, immune deficiencies, cardiovascular diseases,” etc., and warned that Fukushima “may…even far exceed” that. 9/

        3 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        Others making headlines predicting up to 1 million deaths were Chris Busby and Arne Gundersen, while the Nordic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Group was more conservative, putting the likely death toll at a *mere* 600,000. 10/

        1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        Presumably Caldicott et al, & their allies in Japan, will claim that the Japanese authorities are hiding the grisly truth. (Trust me—if there were any basis for such a story, the media would be all over it.) Or they’ll claim more time must pass before cancers materialize. 11/

        1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        But surely, deep down, they must be rattled about the utter lack of evidence supporting their wild assertions. Will they recant? Fat chance. 12/

        1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        But their pious professions of concern for Fukushima should be judged in light of the myriad social problems that they helped cause: Kids dragged to distant prefectures by overanxious parents. Women afraid to become pregnant. Farmers unable to sell unfairly tainted crops. 13/pic.twitter.com/l5sP7XyF1m

        2 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        To be sure, one major reason for those social problems is that many Japanese thought they were lied to. They didn’t trust reassurances from their own gov't or academic experts. But the worst, most damaging dishonesty was perpetrated by a US official. 14/https://slate.com/technology/2013/09/nrc-response-to-fukushima-a-mistake-turned-public-opinion-against-japan.html …

        2 replies 3 retweets 17 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        Please don’t misunderstand me. TEPCO and its regulators hardly merit absolution. Fault for the disaster rests with them—theirs is the original sin. 15/

        3 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        And there’s plenty of room for legitimate debate about what levels of radiation are safe and what aren’t. Is it prudent to move back to all the areas close to Fukushima Dai-ichi that the government has deemed habitable? Darned if I know. 16/

        2 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        But the evidence of the past ten years is mounting to the point of incontrovertibility. The scaremongers were wrong, by many orders of magnitude, and they made a bad situation a lot worse. 17/

        2 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        To conclude on an upbeat note: A box of Fukushima produce was just delivered to our house—turnips, spinach, sweet potatoes, carrots, onions, cucumbers, apples, etc.—which will be used in the dinner we’ll have tomorrow, the 10th anniversary of 3/11. 18/

        1 reply 2 retweets 24 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Paul Blustein‏ @PaulBlustein Mar 10

        Paul Blustein Retweeted Paul Blustein

        And as I tweeted a few days ago, we’ll wash down our meal with Fukushima sake, while remembering the real tragedy of that terrible day—the 16,000-plus who perished in the tsunami. end/https://twitter.com/PaulBlustein/status/1363451675768479745?s=20 …

        Paul Blustein added,

        Paul Blustein @PaulBlustein
        Behold this sake, ordered for a dinner we’ll have on March 11, the 10th anniversary of #Japan’s 3/11 disaster. It’s from #Fukushima. My wife, kids and I have eaten *lots* of Fukushima food over the past decade. Think we glow in the dark? Gather ’round for a thread.🧵1/ pic.twitter.com/AAOinzwe3T
        Show this thread
        1 reply 2 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      20. End of conversation

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