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PatrickRuffini's profile
Patrick Ruffini
Patrick Ruffini
Patrick Ruffini
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@PatrickRuffini

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Patrick RuffiniVerified account

@PatrickRuffini

GOP polling/analytics. Digital ex. Partner/Co-Founder @EchelonInsights.

Washington, DC
echeloninsights.com
Joined March 2007

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    Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

    Some perspective on this Guardian/NYT Cambridge Analytica Story.http://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/17/us/politics/cambridge-analytica-trump-campaign.html …

    1:48 PM - 17 Mar 2018
    • 62 Retweets
    • 80 Likes
    • Soul Eater ✍️ Freek Evers ¥§¥Stephan Froede¥§¥ Mathew Ingram Martin Cote bob ˗ˏˋ 𝑗𝑎𝑦𝑛𝑎 𝑤𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑐𝑒  ˎˊ michelle Wall of Worry!
    5 replies 62 retweets 80 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        This isn’t a “data breach.” And the underlying data gathered isn’t that scary. It was completely legal to collect under Facebook API rules through 2014 (2015 if you count the sunset period)

        6 replies 20 retweets 33 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        Numerous campaign Facebook apps in the 2012-14 period collected data about Facebook friends. The Obama campaign called it targeted sharing.

        3 replies 29 retweets 30 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        Where CA screwed up was in transferring the data from an academic. This was a clear no-no under Facebook’s platform policies. Had they simply collected the data themselves, they wouldn’t have had a problem.

        4 replies 17 retweets 23 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        In theory, these apps were not supposed to make use of friends data globally (only as part of the individual friend’s UX) but numerous apps did show aggregate data about friends of friends.

        1 reply 7 retweets 9 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        In fact, the Obama campaign ran and publicly reported analytics about “friends of friends” through its apps — reporting that only 50% of millennials’ friends were contactable via phone but something like 90% were via Facebook

        1 reply 22 retweets 21 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        Off a base off 1M authorized accounts, they estimated they could contact 98% of the US Facebook population via friends. That’s only knowable if you have the IDs in your database.

        1 reply 12 retweets 17 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        What was creepy and scary when Trump did it (actually no, because they didn’t use the data) was heralded as an amazing tech innovation when Obama did it — which it was

        3 replies 19 retweets 45 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        Facebook shut this down in 2014, citing user feedback. More likely, they realized it was possible for third party developers to build massive microtargeting databases this way, competing with their business model.

        1 reply 17 retweets 42 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        And for good reason. Partisanship models based on Facebook page like data are as reliable (if not more reliable) than voter files.

        1 reply 8 retweets 23 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        But you don’t really need Facebook data to replace voter file data (which is good). You need it to replace third party commercial data (which isn’t that good, because of privacy worries) = $$$

        1 reply 4 retweets 16 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        Needless to say, this was problematic for Facebook.

        1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        Needless to say, you shouldn’t be particularly concerned about this. Because the psychographic use case is and was pretty weak sauce. Ultimately you need offline commercial databases to make predictions about the entire population...

        2 replies 5 retweets 14 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        And these offline variables don’t have any predictive power when predicting personality traits — which in and of themselves are not even that useful to know for political persuasion

        2 replies 5 retweets 8 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini Mar 17

        To recap: This wasn’t that controversial when it was happening. Facebook shut it down in 2014, partly for privacy reasons, but more for commercial reasons. It’s only scary ex post facto with the words “Trump” and “Russia” applied.

        2 replies 19 retweets 49 likes
        Show this thread
      16. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Gabriel Pirlo  🇺🇸 🇵🇱 🇮🇹 🏴󠁥󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿‏ @GabePirlo Mar 17
        Replying to @PatrickRuffini

        You're making a number of leaps here. 1. To definitively say they didn't use the data when people associated with the campaign have bragged about the effectiveness of microtargeting *and* the Special Counsel is looking into this exact question is beyond overstatement.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. Gabriel Pirlo  🇺🇸 🇵🇱 🇮🇹 🏴󠁥󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿‏ @GabePirlo Mar 17
        Replying to @GabePirlo @PatrickRuffini

        2. To dismiss the idea that any of this would work at all anyway is pretty disingenuous when CA's entire use-case is based on the theory that *it does* & they've spent the last 2 years flying around the world selling it.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. Gabriel Pirlo  🇺🇸 🇵🇱 🇮🇹 🏴󠁥󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿‏ @GabePirlo Mar 17
        Replying to @GabePirlo @PatrickRuffini

        3. CA has 2 pretty good case studies they've been using to sell it in Trump2016 & #Brexit. 4. You're essentially arguing that emotional advertising doesn't work. 5. You're acting as if data sophistication didn't evolve exponentially between Obama 2008 & Trump 2016.

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      5. Gabriel Pirlo  🇺🇸 🇵🇱 🇮🇹 🏴󠁥󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿‏ @GabePirlo Mar 17
        Replying to @GabePirlo @PatrickRuffini

        So based on your Tweets in sum, either CA is lying their way around the world about their own efficacy & selling vaporware to governments & militaries or there's some absolutely enormous pieces you're missing here.

        4 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      6. Alex Grant‏ @AG Mar 17
        Replying to @GabePirlo @gabetown @PatrickRuffini

        Agreed. Someone should ask CA what they are up to in MEX

        0 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
      7. End of conversation

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