The empirical question is what exactly the machine looks like, how it functions, and how you can tell it's not just a regular chunk of physics.
Well yes you could call that a tight constraint! The human brain does not escape the bounds of physics. We don't have advanced AIs yet but not unreasonable to expect unpredictable behaviour
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The human brain very plausibly escapes the bounds of physics. Physics has undecideable variables. If some of those variables are not universally undecdeable, we have a communication tunnel.
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If AI does things that are in principle unpredictable then they are literally magic. We've found pentagrams and summoned demons, even though they're not exactly pentagram shaped.
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it's really easy to construct a deterministic system that is in principle unpredictable. familiarize yourself with the halting problem, the three-body problem, rule 110, etc.
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when it's as hard as it is to predict the future behavior of really simple deterministic systems, it's ridiculously unparsimonious to invoke entities entirely outside of physics and church-turing just to explain one specific genus of primates.
End of conversation
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