No need for such modesty Philip. You brought your research to life plenty well in your excellent book Superforecasting - I read it twice, which I think is probably the highest complement someone can pay an author. Exceptional insight.
Some writers bring my research to life so much better than i can. Dan Gardner was one. Sanne Blauw is another. I'm a bit jealous and very grateful.https://twitter.com/The_Corres/status/1275049286716309504 …
Experts don't have all the answers; so, we should lean in to our doubts.
@sanneblauw has four ideas of how to do this. She looks at the work of @PTetlock, a political scientist who has researched 'forecasting' for 30 years.
https://thecorrespondent.com/537/in-praise-of-doubt-why-we-should-be-less-sure-about-everything-right/71094377805-516d6ca5 …
: http://hedibaka.eu/ pic.twitter.com/FTYemRgtzm
: http://hedibaka.eu/ pic.twitter.com/FTYemRgtzm-
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