Most things keep on keeping on (most of the time). The main change in my daily life between 2000 and 2010 and 2020 is that my computer screen has grown from 15" to 24" to ... 43".
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And how do we even categorize what (I suspect) is the most common tendency in year-end writing: “extend the trend”? eg “the rising rate of terrorism will get much worse” or “stocks will soar to another record high.” Are these predictions of change or the status quo?
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Why wld political evolution be keyed to the turn of an artificial construct - decade?
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Good point...
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I think people overpredict change on a one year scale but underprerict over 10 years
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What is false exactly?
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The one certainty is that things will change more than we tend to assume.