How do you know how much to update for every new news piece? That is the part of superforecasting I didn't get
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Beware polls that don't react to events ... https://wordpress.com/post/anthonycutler.com/1273 …
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How can one have absolute confidence anything will happen other than Legarde and IMF and now ECB. Better practice between 30 and 70 except the Coast Starlite will make it between Seattle and LA cheers
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