stimulating rest: Everything is vague to a degree you do not realize till you have tried to make it precise, and everything precise is so remote from everything that we normally think, that you cannot for a moment suppose that is what we really mean when we say what we think.
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حادين شديد تقول مات ليهم زول
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في اشتباك كان بين هايديغر من جهة و كارناب و ناس حلقة فيينا جهة تانية . لو لقيت لينك برسل ليك ، حتستمع بيهو للدين .
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Wittgenstein tried and failed. Not sure what the counterpart of the problem Wittgenstein encountered would be in the area of prediction.
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One person Russell found to be too vague was Bergson. "Those to whom activity without purpose seems a sufficient good will find in Bergson's books a pleasing picture of the universe." I suppose that is how you could describe vague forecasting.
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If we want to be fair to Bergson, maybe we should read it. Although Russell's opinion is always an authority.
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Wish political discourse was about sharing our predictions with evidence and follow-uo discussion. It is instead spin and attempts to shape perception minus facts. Heard podcast with D. Kahneman. He said facts don’t often change opinion. A tribe member with cog dissonance might.
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