Challenge for futurist types: can you cite a work (fiction or non) which, as a whole, didn't overpredict the rate of tech progress?
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Right, but only in this area. On the whole, they all overshot reality. This says a lot about people's bias in making predictions.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect … You probably know about this. It's the reason why I lean on the side of the future not being so diff from present.
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