Superforecasters do something that most of us often forget to do: use base rates in deciding which worries to fret about the most.https://twitter.com/TheEconomist/status/828177567584759808 …
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... "We've already fracked things up so fundamentally it's just silly to try to do anything about it now."
... This is where a really horrible war comes from. "Why, why is this happening?" Oh c'mon, you know.
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