@asilentsky @Outsideness But he simply doesn't have good enough technology to know, despite being flagrantly wrong. Same applies here.
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Replying to @drethelin
@asilentsky
@Outsideness We can rule out vast civilizations of star movers and dyson builders but anything else might be invisible.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @drethelin
@asilentsky
@Outsideness to put it another way, there could be 10 stars with human-level civ within 50 light years and we would have no idea1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @drethelin
@drethelin @asilentsky The time-coincidence viz developmental synchronization suggested by that is surely utterly absurd?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Outsideness
@Outsideness @asilentsky what do you mean? My point is that we wouldn't know whether or not the coincidence happened.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @drethelin
@drethelin @asilentsky Assume c.5 billion years of intelligence-development time (fairly conservative). 0.1% of that is then 5 million years1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @Outsideness
@drethelin @asilentsky The chance of any two neighboring civs being even remotely within same development-phase window is effectively zero.1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @Outsideness
@Outsideness @asilentsky sure but that's not really relevant to my point re: our poor abilities to detect shit1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @drethelin
@drethelin @asilentsky Surely it is. There's either primitive squalor (hard to detect) or stellar-tectonic awesomeness (hard to miss).2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @Outsideness
@Outsideness @asilentsky or there's an arbitrarily large amount of civilizations that can't do stellar awesomeness1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
@drethelin @asilentsky Has to be VERY near 100% can't, if it's to do the Great Filter exorcism properly.
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Replying to @Outsideness
@Outsideness @asilentsky there's some balance between can't and won't, but yeah. We don't move a lot of mountains, even though we "could"0 replies 0 retweets 0 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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