This is why the future is almost certainly Chinese.https://twitter.com/SenGillibrand/status/1070106980298186753 …
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Replying to @JohnWolpersCFP @SelimSeesYou
Want to turn that into a bet?
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Replying to @JohnWolpersCFP @SelimSeesYou
Let's try to specify this. If the West remains on its present course it will be economically outperformed by China to an embarrassing extent. What are our metrics? Totally in for $100,000 if we can sort this out. Hey, why not $1,000,0000 if you're good for it?
3 replies 0 retweets 8 likes -
Replying to @JohnWolpersCFP @SelimSeesYou
But if China NGDP is 95% of US NGDP in 2038, it will have massively outperformed America for another two decades. ...
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Replying to @Outsideness @SelimSeesYou
... Counter-offer: If Chinese NGDP is larger relative to US NGDP in 2018 than it is today, you pay me RMB 500,000. Otherwise I pay you RMB 500,000.
2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
... If this seems stingy, it's because this is also a bet on America remaining culturally crippled by progressivism, and China remaining comparatively less so, which I'm not hugely excited about making. Still, the balance of probabilities leans that way.
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