... Chimerica is broken, but it's not THAT broken. There's massive positive-sum space to negotiate in. ...
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Replying to @Outsideness @Thesokorus
... "Oh shit, America is being game-theoretically rational now." "Okay, but they're still playing our game." ...
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Replying to @Outsideness @Thesokorus
... Unless China has some bizarre crisis of confidence, it will carry on playing, and do fine. (China doing fine leaves plenty of space for America to massively improve it's position.) ...
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Replying to @Outsideness @Thesokorus
... Only reason this might not be true is if it was a hard zero-sum game. Neither Trump nor Xi believe this.
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Replying to @Thesokorus
Even if both sides tends to harsh realism, in which zero-sum games predominate, there's a lot of room for deals in which both improve their position. The world is a big place.
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Replying to @Thesokorus
America has far better long-term prospects in a well-negotiated bi-polar world than in a chaotically-collapsing mono-polar world.
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They need some re-education. Won't happen without squawking. But if the West plays Mackinder double or quits, it could very probably lose everything.
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