(since NRx afaict predicts the occurrence of both you might want to be less certain that this isn't a serious problem)
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Replying to @adornofthagn @Outsideness and
furthermore, the most direct way in which possession of a doomsday device translates into capacity to feed yourself is that you can use it to rob anyone who wouldn't rather die than give you food
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Replying to @adornofthagn @meta_nomad and
It is indicative of an underlying competence, that would be more sensibly tapped directly. Highway robbery is not a common route to top tier social success.
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Replying to @Outsideness @meta_nomad and
then the erasure of thermonuclear etc highway robbery depends on top tier social success being realistically available to the same amount of people that can be highway robbers, i.e. ever more
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Replying to @adornofthagn @meta_nomad and
The underlying model here -- that deterrent capability is basically to be used for begging with -- is so gloriously Leftist in inspiration it's going to call for a little adjustment time.
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Replying to @Outsideness @adornofthagn and
... Inflexible final line is dictated by Chicken Game strategy. You ALWAYS let the world burn rather than submitting to blackmail. ...
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Replying to @Outsideness @adornofthagn and
... "So the world is going to burn?" -- That depends on how prominent you think hyper-competent, well-resourced, suicidal freaks are going to be. ...
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Replying to @Outsideness @meta_nomad and
XRD seems to contradict the notion that they have to be all that hypercompetent etc, just sufficiently suicidal. since the sales pitch of NRx is *Eternal Hell*, yeah I'd go with the world either burning or submitting to blackmail
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Replying to @adornofthagn @meta_nomad and
X-Risk Capability requires so much competence it would make a good criterion. (Yes, it's falling, if XRD is right.)
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Replying to @Outsideness @meta_nomad and
which is why I'm saying, if xrd is correct, nrx isn't
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XRD escalation makes Patchwork plausible, before it begins to cause problems for it. So the problems are for NeoCam patches to deal with (not for us).
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Replying to @Outsideness @adornofthagn and
The risk never dissipates given the endemic nature of the 'democracy virus'. Non-democratic states must remain in constant vigilance to ward it off (as China, Singapore, etc have). The costs of doing so become immeasurably prohibitive at some point.
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