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Think aloud: why is NK doing this? Becuz it's a surveillance state. And why is it a surveillance state? Because of its state ideology: GLA
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during Pyeongchang Olympics, he responded coyly, "Well, no one knows that for sure."http://news.donga.com/Main/3/all/20170916/86358353/1 …
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"Plan B to Pyeongchang" & no alternative site being considered for any contingency. But per AP, when Jang asked if SK will remain safe
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is even entertaining possibility of letting NK athletes compete by giving them "wildcard spots" in competition. Bach in fact said there's no
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Last checked NK's IOC member Jang Woong said NK will attend if any of their athletes qualify. And IOC's Thomas Bachhttp://www.hankookilbo.com/v/cde918f5e005451f8fbcf3c530608128 …
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We're only 140 days away. Pyeongchang's Olympic committee is alarmed but expected to start reassurance campaign by stressing NK may attend.
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It was bound to happen: Can't blame athletes from being skittish but France's sports minister?https://qz.com/1084462/2018-winter-olympics-france-will-skip-pyeongchang-games-near-north-korea-if-safety-cant-be-guaranteed/ …
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France's sports minister says France not firm on attending Pyeongchang if situation worsens & safety not guaranteedhttp://news.donga.com/List/PoliticsNK/3/000301/20170922/86460364/1 …
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By doing something remotely similar, NK may be calculating it can secure "nuke club status": it will then "declare that it has arrived."
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NK is prolly familiar with Bikini Island's nuke tests conducted on/above & under the sea that caused evacuations & huge controversy in 1950s
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There are clues in NK's recent statements. After Sep 3, NK said it's "nearing completion"; didn't says it was done, suggesting more to come.
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Trump's comment may have accelerated the timetable but NK may have felt "air-testing" necessary anyway to secure "nuke club status."
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SK analysts think NK was never satisfied with underground nuke testing & "air testing" was already being consideredhttps://youtu.be/KPZvQjyzZBU?t=4m47s …
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Ri didn't say [to magnify fear]. That's interpreting what he seems to be trying to convey as KJU's humble servant.
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Ran out of space in prev tweet: Ri said rather than doing something unprecedented land-based, might do it over Pacific O [to magnify fear]
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What Ri Yong-ho said is this: "Rather than doing unprecedented, land-based H-bomb testing, KJU might consider doing it over Ocean Pacific."
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"My father's mad & when he gets mad, no one can control him. He just might go crazy & go postal. He's nuttier than squirrel droppings."
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Presumably over unclaimed Pacific waters (far from Tokyo). Ri's using a psychological ploy to say this: presumably Ri in touch w Pyongyang.
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Straight from the horse's mouth: "What [KJU] might mean is conducting land-based H-bomb test over Pacific waters"https://youtu.be/RVcBkczQVBE?t=1m10s …
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Except it may be considered a blockade or act of war by NK. NK usually doesn't do provocations that can be easily detected or forestalled
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Would be logistically easy to stop NK's submarine-based H-bomb testing in the Pacific: nuke subs can catch them in the act & forestall it.
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