Russian defense production is not going well. It seems unlikely that they will be able to sustain their WW1-like artillery barrages indefinitely:
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“Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.” Napoleon, attributed.
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What if they barter with Iran and North Korea? Already news came out today Russia is sending Iran Su-35 fighters.
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A chic argument I've seen repeated is "2023 favors Ukranie, 2024 favors Russia" and I couldn't disagree more. If the war is still going strong in 2024, Russians will be armed with pikes and kite shields.
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I actually get the impression that WWI artillery barrages is the one place where (assuming western support of Ukraine continues at pace) Russia keeps an edge. It’s not hard for them to continue manufacturing dumb artillery shells and replacement guns. Harder to manufacture BMP-3s
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it's still incomprehensible they've been able to keep it up for nearly a year so far.
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