Remember: Just because an idea is old doesn't mean it's good.
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"Learning the lessons of history" usually just means assuming ergodicity and stationarity in an informal time-series model... (end)
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What if something is touted as being a super threat to our very existence but all it’s predictions are consistently wrong? Abandon hysteria or keep doubling down?
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This is the nature of natural selection: when one's survival determines the survival of one's ideas, you can be sure that some of the survivors are objectively better. Identifying which among them are the hinges may be more difficult.
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Most tried and true methods experience sudden catastrophic obsoletion when the underlying conditions change in ways people don’t see or take seriously.
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