It has also been hard to gin up fear of black people recently. The crime wave of 2015-2016 has largely ended. https://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/publications/2018_09_CrimeAnalysisV6.pdf … BLM is not as high-profile, cities haven't had any riots, and Jason van Dyke went down for murder. All Trump can do is swipe at Kaepernick.
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Reasons to think it won't work: 1. Hispanic-white intermarriage is very high: http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2017/05/18/1-trends-and-patterns-in-intermarriage/#the-largest-share-of-intermarried-couples-include-one-hispanic-and-one-white-spouse … As Tomas Jimenez documents, this means tons of white people have Hispanic people in their family now.https://www.amazon.com/Other-Side-Assimilation-Immigrants-Changing/dp/0520295706 …
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Other reasons to think it won't work: 2. Latinos have adopted English very rapidly, so don't seem as "foreign": https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2013/01/28/hispanic-immigrants-are-assimilating-just-as-quickly-as-earlier-groups/?noredirect=on … 3. Latinos have made good economic progress: https://www.amazon.com/Barrios-Burbs-Making-Mexican-American/dp/0804788669 …
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Painting Hispanic Americans in general as an occupying army calls on Americans to turn against their neighbors, their friends, their coworkers, their girlfriends and boyfriends, their wives and husbands and nieces and nephews. It's a nightmarish thing to ask.
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So while I expect this to be Trump's strategy - and the strategy of the Stephen Millers and Steve Kings etc. who come after Trump and build on his movement - I kind of think this strategy will ultimately fail. But if it succeeds...God help us all. (end)
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End of conversation
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#2 is the concerning one. Until the GOP comes to term with it it's going to be "Flight 93 Election" every time.
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NYC, 28.6% Latino. CT, 13.4% Latino. Massachusetts 11.2% Latino. We're not that unfamiliar with them. At least not in the cities. Although Puerto Rican, Caribbean, and Central American is more common than Mexican or South American.
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Hard to imagine anybody near any urban areas or on coasts that doesn't feel Latinos are integral, decades long part of the population. Where are real pockets of anti immigration appeal?
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