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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 29

      Twitter monthly active users in the United States vs TWTR stock pricepic.twitter.com/g5q2XiORTB

      5 replies 5 retweets 30 likes
      Show this thread
      Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 29

      Notice that late 2014 or early 2015 is when U.S. user growth suddenly flatlines. The stock price decline begins shortly thereafter. What happened in late 2014 and early 2015 on Twitter that could have caused user growth to flatline?

      11:53 AM - 29 Oct 2018
      • 1 Retweet
      • 12 Likes
      • Idk what to do with this account Louis-Kenzo Charles Outlaw G.A.Ferguson Scaramouche Worathiti Pung Jason Smith Buffy's Blog 2
      14 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ettaroo‏ @ettaroo Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          in early 2015, people got tired of your rabbit jokes and quit Twitter, lol

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 29
          Replying to @ettaroo

          Cinnamon is serenely undisturbed by your trollingpic.twitter.com/CiTKwD1JxJ

          2 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
        4. Rob Michlowitz‏ @ARVRRob Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion @ettaroo

          Inviting petting target! 🐰

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 29
          Replying to @ARVRRob

          pic.twitter.com/i95eizOkby

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        6. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. James R Williamson‏ @jrwill9 Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Joined: May 2015pic.twitter.com/GNXYKaia6t

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 29
          Replying to @jrwill9

          Checks out!

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. James Salsman  📎‏ @jsalsman Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion @jrwill9

          In 2010, I predicted Twitter would grow until about 2015, and level off around 2020. Not bad for the size of those confidence intervals? (Extrapolation from TableCurve 2D which I still like for its proper sorting by F-statistics adjusting goodness of fit for degrees of freedom)pic.twitter.com/bKxGomOZb8

          0 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
        5. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2.  🗳️ 🇺🇲 Gw 👻i L 🌐, MD  🇺🇲 🗳️‏ @GwailoMD Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Gamergate?

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 29
          Replying to @GwailoMD

          That was my thought.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4.  🗳️ 🇺🇲 Gw 👻i L 🌐, MD  🇺🇲 🗳️‏ @GwailoMD Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          I give you that like just to temp you.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. End of conversation
        1. Stephen Power‏ @stephenfpower Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          - Strengthened authentication measures to cull number of bots - Competition from Snapchat and Instagram in youth markets - Competition in Asian markets from Asia-based Twitter alternatives

          0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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        1. Neapolitan Berniecrat‏ @matteodinaples Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Peak saturation. Everyone interested in it had already joined.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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          Undo
        1. New conversation
        2. Josh Hunt‏ @Bouje99 Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          What explains the roughly doubling in price from the middle of 2016 to now? Could it be people spending more time on twitter ?pic.twitter.com/vIJDZjSTng

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. andrew‏ @andrewronmo Oct 29
          Replying to @Bouje99 @Noahpinion

          NASDAQ went from 4800 to 7000

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Josh Hunt‏ @Bouje99 Oct 29
          Replying to @andrewronmo @Noahpinion

          Twitter has outperformed the nasdaq substantially since the middle of the 2016 then. (Disclaimer I’m long twitter).

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. andrew‏ @andrewronmo Oct 29
          Replying to @Bouje99 @Noahpinion

          yes but if you are asking why Twitter doubled you surely have to take into account that NASDAQ was up like 40%

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        6. End of conversation
        1. Smitty Werbenjagermanjensen‏ @theenergylab Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Seems obvious.pic.twitter.com/8SWFuXzjoj

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Jihong Park‏ @JihongPark64 Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Simply ran out of potential twitter users. Twitter isn’t like Facebook that appeals to broad swath of people

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Nick 'New Moon' Felker @ Bay Area‏ @HandNF Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          It doesn't necessarily need to have a cause. Twitter has a specific niche in social media, and perhaps it just reached saturation as everyone who wanted to use it uses it.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. shawndrost‏ @shawndrost Oct 29
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          They went public and the metrics were rationalized

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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