Of course, the belief in ethnic bloc voting becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. When a slight Dem tilt among Hispanics and Asians caused the GOP to turn against them, Hispanics and Asians shifted more toward the Dems. Etc. etc. A self-reinforcing cycle.
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Bush's 2006 amnesty attempt, and the 2013 intra-GOP fight over immigration reform, were two moments when the GOP could have turned back to the approach of Reagan, and courted Hispanics and Asians. But they decided against this, and...here we are.
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What will disrupt this bad equilibrium, and save American politics from being an eternal race war? Either: A) More white voters will grow disgusted with the GOP approach and defect, or B) The GOP will find some non-immigration-related issues to attract more Hispanics and Asians.
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As long as both parties see elections in terms of racial bloc voting - where the only way to win is to increase turnout among your own racial blocs or suppress turnout by the other party's racial blocs - American politics will not improve, and the country will decline. (end)
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Replying to @Noahpinion
Idk. This is obviously less true of Democrats than Republicans as Democrats are still reliant on getting at least 40-45% of white votes and will be presumably forever thanks to the Senate.
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Replying to @csilverandgold
You'd think so, yeah, but I've lost count of the number of "swing voters don't exist, we've just got to turn out the base" takes I've read from the Dem side...
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Replying to @Noahpinion
I mean that is the line in Texas (as it should be), but “the base” isn’t drawn on racial lines. It is drawn on cultural lines, perhaps, but not racial ones. Of course, I think cultural lines among white ppl are more or less identical to integrated vs segregated whites so.
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Replying to @csilverandgold @Noahpinion
Also for all those takes every race I’ve followed pivoted to persuading Republicans after the primary. Gone is single-payer and gun control, welcome to “quality healthcare for all Americans” and “I respect the second amendment.”
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Replying to @csilverandgold
That's interesting. How long can Dem politicians resist the inexorable force of TAKES?
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I imagine Takes as a sort of cone of metal and guns rolling down the street screeching and firing rounds into the air, like in the ending of Tetsuo the Iron Man...
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