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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 25

    Noah Smith Retweeted Bloomberg Opinion

    Huh.https://twitter.com/bopinion/status/1055492345091842048 …

    Noah Smith added,

    Bloomberg OpinionVerified account @bopinion
    The U.S. housing industry is experiencing the biggest year-over-year decline since the housing bust. Sales of new single-family houses were down 13.2% in September from a year earlier https://bloom.bg/2EM4uYS  pic.twitter.com/VLAlHGSJ23
    Show this thread
    9:16 AM - 25 Oct 2018
    • 17 Retweets
    • 48 Likes
    • America...you're in danger, girl - VOTE NOV 6TH! Prole Hunter ⚒ Danny O'Sullivan Elmo Alex Armlovich Tomb-cheese Wanter Zack Abrams Benjamin Hansen M
    19 replies 17 retweets 48 likes
      1. Coops‏ @englishelf79 Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Turns out if you sell a bunch of college kids student loans and don’t have meaningful jobs to offer them to pay off the debt, they aren’t really looking to buy houses. Amazing.

        0 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. DanaBlankenhorn‏ @danablankenhorn Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Mortgage prices have doubled. Prices, and costs, have remained steady. Surprised it took so long to figure this out.

        3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. *Starry-Eyed*JGC‏ @jgcOCANADA Oct 25
        Replying to @danablankenhorn @Noahpinion

        Tariffs on 🇨🇦lumber have also increased costs to builders. Maybe they are absorbing those costs, but out of their profits then.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeremy (Mueller is coming...)‏ @Trenchman003 Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Is this bad? Feels like it’s bad...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. spooky Mahan photo‏ @spooknine Oct 25
        Replying to @Trenchman003 @Noahpinion

        I'm sure between this and the stock market wipeout its either traitorous Democrats' fault or part of the 12-dimensional chess to MAGA

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Benjamin Hansen‏ @benconomics Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Its as if interest rates play a factor in housing affordability....

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. RIP SCOTUS Hojoon  🌹‏ @HojoonH Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        No one wants to refinance at 200 bps above their current mortgage by selling a house and buying another

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Kevin Hill‏ @CyborgTribe Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        A guess based on the n=1 of Denver: look at # of apartments scheduled to come on the market in 2019

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. jm66210‏ @jm66210 Oct 26
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        There are lifestyle factors as well. I believe they call them the "lock & leave" generation.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Sherkhan Ali Khan‏ @sherkhantx Oct 26
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        I think this is partially correct. Tax changes are definitely having an effect. Also, US spacial geographic wealth is reverting to the global mean-- ringed suburbs are no longer where wealth people want to live, wealth is returning to city cores like the rest of the world

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Sherkhan Ali Khan‏ @sherkhantx Oct 26
        Replying to @sherkhantx @Noahpinion

        2/ This is being put into hyperdrive by ridesharing & amazon prime-- car centric lifestyles are less dominant. Same effect is being seen in retail stores around the country. 'Big Box' style of retail is going away, or at least a smaller percentage of wealthy purchases

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Ruth Morales  💃🏻‏ @moreconx Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        I think you meant whoa.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. andrew‏ @andrewronmo Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Would have expected the tax bill to hurt prices more than volume

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. nickisafraud‏ @nickisafraud Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        I blame YIMBYs on Twitter with their Tweets

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. tim mullaney‏ @timmullaney Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        cars looking shaky too. and chips. good gdp print will change mood but for how long

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Davinci‏ @Davinci_2020 Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Interest rates. Don’t want to give up my sub 4% rate.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Marty Walsh‏ @serialhobbyist1 Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        How does this compare to changes in building expenses and earnings? Could a slowdown represent an inability of people to keep up paying for the cost of building?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Sir Humphrey‏ @bdquinn Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Current house prices were only affordable at artificially low rates and it was unwise to keep that going. Asset prices can't just arbitrarily be pushed up forever without regard to longer term fundamentals and residential real estate prices have outstripped those.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. John Hopkins‏ @JohnHopkinsSC Oct 25
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Breathtaking analysis

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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