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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
      Replying to @Eric_Dykstra @PsychRabble @primalpoly

      You know what else would be a good defense against an uncertain future? A technology that lets you create invincible force fields. You know why I don't call for that or spend much time thinking about it? Because it's a fantasy.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    2. Lee Jussim‏ @PsychRabble Oct 23
      Replying to @Noahpinion @Eric_Dykstra @primalpoly

      Noah, you are almost definitely right. Odds of an actual breakup are super low. But impossible?

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
      Replying to @PsychRabble @Eric_Dykstra @primalpoly

      I'm going to go ahead and say yes, because the costs to saying yes seem minimal.

      2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    4. Eric Dykstra‏ @Eric_Dykstra Oct 23
      Replying to @Noahpinion @PsychRabble @primalpoly

      So the future is _so_ uncertain that trying to avoid catastrophe is as futile as waiting for unicorns to save us. But also you're completely certain that the United States will continue with its exact same borders until it ceases to exist?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
      Replying to @Eric_Dykstra @PsychRabble @primalpoly

      Secession wouldn't avoid a catastrophe, it would cause one. And in fact would be one.

      3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    6. Lee Jussim‏ @PsychRabble Oct 23
      Replying to @Noahpinion @Eric_Dykstra @primalpoly

      Why do you think that? (honest q; history of broken up large countries is mixed rather than disastrous...).

      3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. Myron Gaines  🇺🇸 🇮🇳‏ @MyronGaines1337 Oct 23
      Replying to @PsychRabble @Noahpinion and

      When the Roman Empire collapsed, we lost some of the ancient world's greatest and most expansive trade networks. The way I see it, some matters scale with size (trade, defense) and others don't (social and political consensuses).

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    8. Myron Gaines  🇺🇸 🇮🇳‏ @MyronGaines1337 Oct 23
      Replying to @MyronGaines1337 @PsychRabble and

      The challenge is to create a system that can harness the benefits of large polities while avoiding their downsides. I don't think anyone has invented a solution.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    9. Burnt-Out Case‏ @BurntOutCase Oct 23
      Replying to @MyronGaines1337 @PsychRabble and

      Well if we think things are bad now, how about when Trump wins reelection in 2020 😀

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
      Replying to @BurntOutCase @MyronGaines1337 and

      It's gonna happen.

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
      Replying to @Noahpinion @BurntOutCase and

      I encourage everyone who thinks America is at an unprecedented level of division and craziness to read Nixonland.

      9:21 PM - 23 Oct 2018
      • 2 Likes
      • Michael Huckins Eric Dykstra
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Burnt-Out Case‏ @BurntOutCase Oct 23
          Replying to @Noahpinion @MyronGaines1337 and

          Nixon obliterated his opponents in 1968 and especially 1972. He was incredibly popular before Watergate.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
          Replying to @BurntOutCase @MyronGaines1337 and

          1968 was fairly close, actually.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Burnt-Out Case‏ @BurntOutCase Oct 23
          Replying to @Noahpinion @MyronGaines1337 and

          I was trolling a bit. It wasn't close in electoral college as much though.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        5. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
          Replying to @BurntOutCase @MyronGaines1337 and

          It was reasonably close, not a landslide!

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        6. Burnt-Out Case‏ @BurntOutCase Oct 23
          Replying to @Noahpinion @MyronGaines1337 and

          I was using Trumpian definition of EC > 300 = Landslide. Ignoring my troll there I think very few people have an idea of how big a landslide 1972 was for Nixon both EC and especially popular vote.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Burnt-Out Case‏ @BurntOutCase Oct 23
          Replying to @BurntOutCase @Noahpinion and

          Seriously though despite my Trumpian sympathies I think it would be a good idea for Dems to lose the House and move more to the center. I could easily see myself voting for someone like Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz but he can't win a Dem primary in the party as it is today.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        8. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23
          Replying to @BurntOutCase @MyronGaines1337 and

          Trump is dog poo. You can build a car out of dog poo but it won't go from 0 to 60.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        9. Burnt-Out Case‏ @BurntOutCase Oct 23
          Replying to @Noahpinion @MyronGaines1337 and

          I didn't vote for him in 2016 but I am coming around. I like his corporate tax cut and I think he was right to rattle China's cage. If he can sustain economic boom for another 2 years I am all in.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        10. 4 more replies

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