I'm not going to pretend to know the specifics, though. There are a number of obvious threats to the United States, as well as unknown threats. Splitting into smaller states with different governmental policies may be the best defense against an uncertain future.
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You know what else would be a good defense against an uncertain future? A technology that lets you create invincible force fields. You know why I don't call for that or spend much time thinking about it? Because it's a fantasy.
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Noah, you are almost definitely right. Odds of an actual breakup are super low. But impossible?
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I'm going to go ahead and say yes, because the costs to saying yes seem minimal.
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So the future is _so_ uncertain that trying to avoid catastrophe is as futile as waiting for unicorns to save us. But also you're completely certain that the United States will continue with its exact same borders until it ceases to exist?
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Secession wouldn't avoid a catastrophe, it would cause one. And in fact would be one.
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Why do you think that? (honest q; history of broken up large countries is mixed rather than disastrous...).
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The US did OK after seceding from the British Empire IIRC.
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Yeah because it was a big contiguous landmass seceding from an island that was an ocean away.
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Are you saying that secession would cause a catastrophe because the US military would intervene? Or is there another reason? It seems like you're arguing both, separately.
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Secession would *be* a catastrophe, because it would represent a large loss of economic value. Secession would *cause* an additional catastrophe, because it would cause either military intervention or large population displacement.
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