I would definitely prefer secession to bloodshed. Secession might be the best thing possible for the survival of America as we know it today, if we are talking on a 100+ year time scale.
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Your "nope" is addressing the current practicality, whereas my tweet was talking about long-term sustainability. To answer your question anyway, I would say the current most likely secession candidate would be a progressive state in California, from ~Oakland on South.
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Replying to @Eric_Dykstra @Noahpinion and
I'm not going to pretend to know the specifics, though. There are a number of obvious threats to the United States, as well as unknown threats. Splitting into smaller states with different governmental policies may be the best defense against an uncertain future.
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You know what else would be a good defense against an uncertain future? A technology that lets you create invincible force fields. You know why I don't call for that or spend much time thinking about it? Because it's a fantasy.
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Noah, you are almost definitely right. Odds of an actual breakup are super low. But impossible?
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I'm going to go ahead and say yes, because the costs to saying yes seem minimal.
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So the future is _so_ uncertain that trying to avoid catastrophe is as futile as waiting for unicorns to save us. But also you're completely certain that the United States will continue with its exact same borders until it ceases to exist?
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Secession wouldn't avoid a catastrophe, it would cause one. And in fact would be one.
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Why do you think that? (honest q; history of broken up large countries is mixed rather than disastrous...).
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Because the areas that would want to secede from each other aren't territorially contiguous enough, making it too hard to draw new stable borders.
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Replying to @Noahpinion @PsychRabble and
New stable borders. [laughs на кириллице]
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