As long as there's geographical migration & assortment by partisan ideology (folks moving to red states or blue states), will some kind of secession become inevitable?
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Replying to @primalpoly @Noahpinion
I recently came across that term, Cold Civil War. I found it deeply disturbing largely because it seemed, maybe not a perfect metaphor, but to hold a lot of truth.
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I would definitely prefer secession to bloodshed. Secession might be the best thing possible for the survival of America as we know it today, if we are talking on a 100+ year time scale.
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Your "nope" is addressing the current practicality, whereas my tweet was talking about long-term sustainability. To answer your question anyway, I would say the current most likely secession candidate would be a progressive state in California, from ~Oakland on South.
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Replying to @Eric_Dykstra @Noahpinion and
I'm not going to pretend to know the specifics, though. There are a number of obvious threats to the United States, as well as unknown threats. Splitting into smaller states with different governmental policies may be the best defense against an uncertain future.
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You know what else would be a good defense against an uncertain future? A technology that lets you create invincible force fields. You know why I don't call for that or spend much time thinking about it? Because it's a fantasy.
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Noah, you are almost definitely right. Odds of an actual breakup are super low. But impossible?
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I'm going to go ahead and say yes, because the costs to saying yes seem minimal.
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Noah Smith Retweeted Noah Smith
Hey Lee look at this inaccurate stereotype:https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1053373544409661440 …
Noah Smith added,
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Yeah, that's wild. This talk: https://osf.io/7p6tb/ has data showing a similarly wildly inaccurate stereotype. About the race gap in wealth (ppl think Bs<W but the real diff is huge compared to perceived diff).
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