Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

Tweets

Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

Tweets

  • © 2018 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 23

    Noah Smith Retweeted Bob Carver

    Yep. Every time I see a story about "this many jobs are vulnerable to automation" I roll my eyes.https://twitter.com/cybersecboardrm/status/1054568091760246785 …

    Noah Smith added,

    Bob Carver @cybersecboardrm
    Why no one really knows how many jobs automation will replace https://www.recode.net/2018/10/20/17795740/jobs-technology-will-replace-automation-ai-oecd-oxford … #technology #jobs #workforce #automation #CyberSecurity #infosec
    5:25 AM - 23 Oct 2018
    • 12 Retweets
    • 78 Likes
    • Sultan Althari Jordan Weissmann Simon Schmid Lukas Sustala Harald Thank Mr. Milty 🙏🙌🦃🏗️ 🌐 Paula D’Ambrosa R C Berg Aaron Kinney
    10 replies 12 retweets 78 likes
      1. Neoliberal  🦃‏ @ne0liberal Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        It is a very large number! Buy a subscription to our paper!

        0 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. 𝕁𝕆ℕ 𝔹𝕆ℕ 𝟛𝟘𝟘𝟘‏ @semiscient Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        One job that's probably up for replacement by automation would be the writing of those articles...

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Paul Schrum‏ @philologon Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        The balance side of this story, which no one covers, is how many jobs automation has already replaced. Didn't it start with the cotton gin? And now who wants to separate fiber from seed by hand? Although that used to be a paying job.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Briar S. Pumpkins‏ @MrRobotCodeBrkr Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        One thing we know for sure: computers will replace the people making these predictions.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. aCGlPuuy‏ @PaulCGuy Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        There’s already an eye-rolling robot out there so you’re already obsolete. Sorry. 🤷🏼‍♂️

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Chris (Robotbeat) 🗽 🖖🏾‏ @Robotbeat Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        We were mostly farmers. Basically all those jobs were replaced by automation. I actually doubt we’ll see that level of job shift ever again until the Singularity in 2237.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. New conversation
      2. AИDЯEШ OGD3И {.~}‏ @Andrew_Ogden Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Predicting how many jobs will be replaced and when is probably not yet practical, but it's an absolute certainty that AI will render a great many people obsolete. People outside of the technology world seriously misjudge the pace at which AI is advancing.https://youtu.be/8nt3edWLgIg 

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. AИDЯEШ OGD3И {.~}‏ @Andrew_Ogden Oct 23
        Replying to @Andrew_Ogden @Noahpinion

        Let's put this in perspective. At an IQ of 70 a person is legally disabled At an IQ of 80 a person can't be trained to be useful in the military. How long will it be before the general intelligence of AI is 90? That would make AI more capable than 1/4 of the population.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Joe‏ @jprwg Oct 23
        Replying to @Andrew_Ogden @Noahpinion

        That argument is probably mistaken, see:https://aiimpacts.org/making-or-breaking-a-thinking-machine/ …

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. AИDЯEШ OGD3И {.~}‏ @Andrew_Ogden Oct 23
        Replying to @jprwg @Noahpinion

        I'm not sure that you're really getting the gist of my argument. There is no logical reason to assume that we will ever plateau in AI development, and as Sam Harris points out, as long as we keep making progress we'll eventually get there. The question is merely when.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. AИDЯEШ OGD3И {.~}‏ @Andrew_Ogden Oct 23
        Replying to @Andrew_Ogden @jprwg @Noahpinion

        If you take my examples where AI already far surpass even the most skilled humans, you can see that all we need to do it continue training for specific skills, and eventually it won't matter how long true general intelligence trails behind.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. AИDЯEШ OGD3И {.~}‏ @Andrew_Ogden Oct 23
        Replying to @Andrew_Ogden @jprwg @Noahpinion

        It won't matter how long it takes AI to learn new skills if it can outperform Doctors, Teachers and Truck Drivers. My comments about the IQ levels was only to put into perspective how little it will need to achieve to make a substantial proportion of the population useless.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. Joe‏ @jprwg Oct 23
        Replying to @Andrew_Ogden

        Yes we'll eventually be able to make AIs w/ that lvl of capability, but how to feel abt that depends on how such AI will actually work, which I don't think we know yet. I'm doubtful full human capability can be implemented just w/ contemporary unconscious classifiers & the like.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      9. AИDЯEШ OGD3И {.~}‏ @Andrew_Ogden Oct 23
        Replying to @jprwg

        We absolutely know that IBM Watson can process information more efficiently and accurately than a human Doctor. We also know that we are a few short years away from Self-driving cars which have significantly lower accident rates than humans. That's more than enough information.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      10. 7 more replies
      1. Joel K. LaPinta‏ @jklapinta Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        In the countries with advanced economies the world has already experienced a major loss of jobs with the automation of agriculture. Seems we have adjusted well enough using our time more productively doing other valuable work.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Will Nash  👻‏ @William_P_Nash Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Oh come on Noah, something something not as many horses as there were in <<earlier year>> and people are like horses amirite?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Bob Carver‏ @cybersecboardrm Oct 23
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        It will all depend on how many humans management will want to take out of the equation. Hopefully, they will utilize automation to augment humans and make business run better, smarter, faster, not eliminate humans!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2018 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info