That is right at the peak of the curve identified by @m_clem in this paper: http://ftp.iza.org/dp8592.pdf
(Of course, there is uncertainty in that estimate and the curve may change over time; fine.)
Yeah, I try never to use the PWT if I can help it.
So if this kind of error was pervasive in that release instead of isolated, @m_clem's paper could be messed up, and the peak of emigration pressure could be misidentified.
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In any case, when Mexican immigration collapsed (2007), Mexico's per capita GDP PPP via World Bank #'s was about 74% higher than El Salvador's was in 2017. BUT, its total fertility rate in 2007 was 2.42, vs. 2.08 in El Salvador in 2016.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Thanks both of you for your interest in this research. The mobility transition curve has been documented in several papers and is robust to various datasets. Two I recommend are: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.12.003 … and: https://doi.org/10.1787/persp_glob_dev-2017-en … (page 118+)
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Thanks!! Really appreciate it!!
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