2/I wrote a Bloomberg post about Central American immigration a few months ago.https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-06-26/what-immigration-crisis-the-u-s-isn-t-being-swamped …
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13/Honduras, the source of the caravan that's now in the news, is still poor, and has slightly higher fertility than El Salvador. Thus, I expect Honduran immigration (or at least, attempted immigration) to continue for about a decade before it too collapses.
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14/In other words, the illegal immigration debate AND the low-skilled immigration debate are now almost entirely about three small Central American countries. And soon it will be only about one small Central American country (Honduras).
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15/This should help put the immigration debate in perspective. Are we really that scared of Honduras? Is Honduras so scary that we're willing to brutalize families and change our whole immigration policy? I would say no. (end)
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Technically the gang MS~13 started here in the US. Pls be factual, the US itself spread that gang to them countries down there.
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The murder rate in El Salvador is dropping (lower than Venezuela now), but still pretty high at 60/100,000.https://www.insightcrime.org/news/analysis/what-behind-el-salvador-recent-drop-homicides/ …
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The adults who came the last few years and are sending money home are likely to have their kids come join them in a few years, no matter what happens there. The child migration crisis of 2014 came about 7-10 years after adult immigration from there started rising
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