Next up in my "immigration and diversity" reading list: "The Other Side of Assimilation: How Immigrants Are Changing American Life", by Tomas Jimenez.https://www.amazon.com/Other-Side-Assimilation-Immigrants-Changing/dp/0520295706 …
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Replying to @drpetebrowncdu
Noah Smith Retweeted Noah Smith
I did, and reviewed it for Foreign Affairs!https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1050446153953599488 …
Noah Smith added,
Noah SmithVerified account @Noahpinion1/I reviewed@reihan Salam's "Melting Pot or Civil War?" for Foreign Affairs: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/review-essay/2018-10-11/should-america-cut-low-skilled-immigration?gpp=LIdllm9bW3aj3/NdALeqADp1VU0zOS9kaldqMjViQ0xmWUMvRy9Ob2tiaElqMjFJR0Vwcm5rbUtCTEttTVFIT3BUaHpDT3dnUnBOSnlGaGxIOmY1N2FhMTFlNGVhNDE4Njk1YzFjYWIxY2MwMjM1YzA1ZTk1NTc3OWExOWI4N2VlMzhkZTk5YWM1NWU5NGFhNDQ%3D …Show this thread1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
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Replying to @drpetebrowncdu
It is. But you can read my thread, where I paraphrase.
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Replying to @Noahpinion
of the unskilled variety...from Africa, from Asia and yes, Central and South America. Thus the call for keeping immigration levels the same but increasing the skills mix probably means a reduction in total numbers over time 2/2
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Replying to @drpetebrowncdu
Yes, given the collapse in Latin American low-skilled immigration, the idea of restricting low-skilled immigration is much more about the future than the present.
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Replying to @Noahpinion
And your supposition that rising GDP in Latin and South America tends to reduce the desire to immigrate seems like it may be wrong. Maybe instead it just increases the expectations for a better life and the wherewithal to achieve it by coming to the US or somewhere else.
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Replying to @drpetebrowncdu
Rising GDP increases immigration pressure until about $8000 or so in PPP terms, then decreases it pretty rapidly after that. Mexico is at almost $18,000 now, Guatemala and El Salvador are just hitting it now (i.e. they're at their peak).
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Replying to @Noahpinion
Well we'll see if the literature is right on this. It seems to me that life in the US at a higher per capita GDP, less crime and more political stability will continue to be attractive for the indefinite future. But maybe it is a convex parabolic curve as you say.
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It's attractive, sure, but only high-skilled people tend to come after a certain point. Also, fertility rates play a key role.pic.twitter.com/iyr7yq60rb
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