In 1990, New York City had 2,245 murders. Last year? 290. (The city's population grew by 1.3 million in that time.)pic.twitter.com/jWktiV5YFc
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In 1990, New York City had 2,245 murders. Last year? 290. (The city's population grew by 1.3 million in that time.)pic.twitter.com/jWktiV5YFc
You just need to field a police force the size of a European military. Also, gentrify much of the city.
I'm not using gentrification as some sort of euphemism for race. The city very profoundly changed over the past 20 years.https://www.citylab.com/life/2017/04/the-gentrification-of-gotham/524694/ …
I mean, I do agree that rising incomes reduce crime.
You're missing the bit where Giuliani ran the homeless out of town, and embarked on 'stop and frisk'.
How many cities did Giuliani serve as mayor for? Because there drop in crime has been a national pattern.
New York's has been unusually large, but the most incredible has actually been D.C.
this is a naive, insensitive, ill-informed, probably stupid question but... any chance NYC gentrification is just forcing crime-prone communities outside of city limits?
Well, what's another community that could be getting the overflow?
Newark?
Newark's murder rate has gone down by about 40% since 1990. Not as good as NYC, but almost nowhere is.pic.twitter.com/IPXBUhVb3z
Looks like "40% down since 1990" may be technically true, but that chart seems to tell the story that it's just the low point in a recurring 10 year cycle of violence. Either way doesn't really support the idea that nearby communities are absorbing NYC's violent inhabitants
Yep. Note that murder in Newark fell at the same time as NYC's big drop in the 90s, then rose again, then fell again.
I don’t have a reference handy, but I remember seeing a well-supported study that showed that the drop in crime in the US correlated ONLY with the availability of legal contraception and abortion. Turns out wanted children don’t grow up to be criminals.
Study turned out to be wrong, they had a coding error. Oops.
Oops. So, it didn’t correlate, or other things did/did better?
It didn't correlate. But check out the lead-crime hypothesis. Fits much better.https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2018/02/an-updated-lead-crime-roundup-for-2018/ …
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