No. In developing countries, fertility and income are poor predictors of each other. There is huge variation in cross section and time series, and huge fertility declines often produce no income growth.https://twitter.com/DaddyD0dd/status/1052726449445036033 …
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I, for one, am still flabbergasted by the drop in Iran. TFR went from 7 in 1984 to barely 2.1 in 2000 and kept falling afterwards. GDP per capita essentially flatlined in the same period. Thats just crazy.
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