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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
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@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16

      Noah Smith Retweeted Vernon Loeb

      Yup. Mistreating Central Americans at the border doesn't stop them from coming. BUT, Central American immigration will soon trickle off of its own accord, allowing the Trump people to claim that their inhumane policies worked.https://twitter.com/LoebVernon/status/1052302635590664194 …

      Noah Smith added,

      Vernon LoebVerified account @LoebVernon
      Guess what, "zero-tolerance" family separation policies at the border don't deter people fleeing murder and mayhem, as evidence shows again and again. @priscialva @theatlantic https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/10/trump-threatens-cut-aid-honduras-over-caravan/573181/?utm_source=twb …
      6 replies 18 retweets 49 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16

      In case you're interested, here's a post I wrote about why Central American immigration to the U.S. is about to end, just like Mexican immigration already did:https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-06-26/what-immigration-crisis-the-u-s-isn-t-being-swamped …

      3 replies 10 retweets 37 likes
      Show this thread
    3. John S. Nash‏ @heynottheface Oct 16
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      You don't think the Great Recession played a major part in slowing down or even reversing Mexican immigration?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16
      Replying to @heynottheface

      It was the trigger, but the trend has persisted since then. The underlying drivers were low fertility and GDP growth.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. John S. Nash‏ @heynottheface Oct 16
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      Isn't their GDP down from 2014?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16
      Replying to @heynottheface

      No. It is up. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYGDPPCAPKDMEX …pic.twitter.com/EzkYDaVyO9

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16
      Replying to @Noahpinion @heynottheface

      Here's PPP in case you cared: https://tradingeconomics.com/mexico/gdp-per-capita-ppp …pic.twitter.com/9T4sHnkYwH

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. John S. Nash‏ @heynottheface Oct 16
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      I was looking at nominal using World Bank and they have it dipping. Per Capita as well.pic.twitter.com/h2gFgZuCNa

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16
      Replying to @heynottheface

      That's just from their currency getting cheaper (google "peso to dollar" to see the decline). Gotta look at real or PPP (the two graphs I sent you) to see the true picture.

      2:36 PM - 16 Oct 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. John S. Nash‏ @heynottheface Oct 16
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Do you have anything on recent trends with median household income. I know it was close to stagnant from 1992 to 2010. Has it gown up noticeably since then?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16
          Replying to @heynottheface

          I don't have those numbers, but Mexico has become a bit less unequal (https://tradingeconomics.com/mexico/gini-coefficient-wb-data.html …), and per capita GDP has gone up significantly, so I assume median household income has gone up by a bit more than per capita GDP.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. John S. Nash‏ @heynottheface Oct 16
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          What's your thoughts on Martin and Cattan's piece last year on Mexico's economy?https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-28/nafta-s-ugly-reality-u-s-mexico-wage-gap-is-actually-widening …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 16
          Replying to @heynottheface

          Mexico's economy has been growing solidly, but not spectacularly.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Antho42‏ @Fullantho Oct 16
          Replying to @Noahpinion @heynottheface

          It is growing at average pace. In addition, Mexico has average per capita (in terms of the world )

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. End of conversation

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