Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

Tweets

Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

Tweets

  • © 2018 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

      Noah Smith Retweeted Bloomberg Opinion

      China isn't quite as mean as the Soviet Union, but it's four times bigger (relative to us), and a hell of a lot more economically competent.https://twitter.com/bopinion/status/1050915857445113857 …

      Noah Smith added,

      Bloomberg OpinionVerified account @bopinion
      "The Chinese geopolitical dream is not revolution or conquest; it is simply a much weaker America," writes @tylercowen https://bloom.bg/2PzSb2R 
      6 replies 26 retweets 108 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

      So, yeah, maybe China wants to kick our butts only 40% as much as the USSR wanted to, but they're like 700% more able to kick our butts.

      16 replies 15 retweets 103 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Adam David Long‏ @adamdavidlong Oct 12
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      1/ 1/ Wait, are you saying that, if you compare (1) US military vs USSR military in 1958 vs (2) US military vs China military in 2018, that Chinese military is 8 times the threat that USSR military was? If so then what possible evidence could you have for that claim?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Adam David Long‏ @adamdavidlong Oct 12
      Replying to @adamdavidlong @Noahpinion

      2/ Current US Military is vastly superior to Chinese military. Situation vs USSR was a much closer thing. Also, when you say that they are 4 times bigger, it appears that you are referring to their population. Really, you think that is a decisive factor?

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12
      Replying to @adamdavidlong

      Yeah population is a hugely important factor. Hitler's army was better but the Soviets crushed him. The Confederacy had all the experienced officers but the Union ground them down. It's not always decisive but it often tells in the end.

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12
      Replying to @Noahpinion @adamdavidlong

      USSR's economy was never close to ours in size. China's is already bigger in PPP terms and is approaching us in nominal terms. That makes a huge difference. If China chose to spend a USSR-like % of its GDP on its military it would vastly overshadow everyone else.

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12
      Replying to @Noahpinion @adamdavidlong

      Could China beat us in a war today? Depends on the kind of war. Could China beat us in a protracted, Cold War-like struggle, where total spending power matters a lot? I'd say they have a much better chance than the Soviets did of winning that sort of multi-decade contest, yeah.

      9:27 PM - 12 Oct 2018
      • 1 Like
      • SpaceCrazedOptimist
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Adam David Long‏ @adamdavidlong Oct 12
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          1/ This is utterly incoherent. The reason that China has so much more spending power than the soviet union is that, under Deng's influence they have done the OPPOSITE of what the soviets did -- rather than a "cold war-like struggle" they have embraced the global economy

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Adam David Long‏ @adamdavidlong Oct 12
          Replying to @adamdavidlong @Noahpinion

          2/ and free trade. I am struggling to be civil because I find it inexcusable and professionally irresponsible for you as an economist, and professor of economics to be making these claims trying to stir up jingoism against China.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2018 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info