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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

    1/This article by @devintstewart gives me the opportunity to evaluate Trump's presidency so far. https://warontherocks.com/2018/10/trump-and-the-end-of-smugness/ … What has Trump actually accomplished? What good or bad things of substance has he done?

    9:19 AM - 12 Oct 2018
    • 42 Retweets
    • 94 Likes
    • Ari Lamm Matthew Hennessey Craig Kafura Daniel Brockman AndyFury globalist shill Kevin Foster Akiva FriedmanRosner Markus Jäntti
    11 replies 42 retweets 94 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        2/Devin thinks Trump's accomplishments since taking office have been real, and mostly positive. I disagree.pic.twitter.com/oIDJblGRK0

        4 replies 2 retweets 23 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        3/First, the economy. Have the tax cuts raised wages or employment? Industry-by-industry analysis says not yet, no.https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-10-10/trump-puts-supply-side-economics-to-its-final-test …

        2 replies 7 retweets 34 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        4/Nor have wages gone up much at all, really.pic.twitter.com/gqXOf3uB6p

        4 replies 7 retweets 30 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        5/So I think the most we can say for Trump on the economy is that his policies have not yet derailed it. Tax cuts will exacerbate inequality, and the trade war may yet derail us, but Trump hasn't managed to crush the boom that began under Obama.

        3 replies 14 retweets 50 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        6/Devin lists "two Supreme Court appointments" among Trump's accomplishments. This is weird, because the President always gets to do Supreme Court appointments. It's just his job. And Trump doesn't seem to have done a very good job of it, with Kavanaugh.

        6 replies 1 retweet 52 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        7/Devin says that there has been "progress on trade relations with Canada and Mexico". In fact, Trump tore up NAFTA and replaced it with something very similar to NAFTA. Other than Canada slightly opening its dairy market, not clear how this is a "win".

        6 replies 1 retweet 43 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        8/Meanwhile, Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs hurt U.S. manufacturers, so overall, trade with Canada and Mexico seems to have had regress, not progress.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-31/trump-s-new-tariffs-anger-u-s-manufacturers-and-business-groups …

        1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        9/On China, yes, Trump is definitely putting the U.S. more on a "Cold War" footing. https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-edges-toward-new-cold-war-era-with-china-1539355839 … It remains to be seen what will come of this. Since the effects are completely unknown at this point, I'd say we shouldn't list this as an "accomplishment".

        2 replies 2 retweets 19 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        10/As for North/South Korea peace, it'll be good if it happens, but so far there's nothing concrete. Nor does North Korea show any sign of wanting to denuclearize.https://www.vox.com/2018/9/19/17878428/north-south-korea-kim-moon-declaration …

        3 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        11/Devin's declaration of progress on the Korean peninsula seems, at this point, like wishful thinking and unjustified optimism. But we'll see!pic.twitter.com/DoA25ZlvN7

        1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        12/Now, let's talk about some Trump failures. He failed to help Puerto Rico after the devastation of Hurricane Maria.https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/28/us/puerto-rico-hurricane-maria-deaths.html …

        2 replies 4 retweets 24 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        13/His "zero tolerance" family separation policy drew near-universal condemnation, forcing him to mostly reverse it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_administration_family_separation_policy …

        1 reply 1 retweet 21 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        14/He has contributed to a rapid deterioration in global opinions of the U.S. http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/10/09/how-the-world-views-the-u-s-and-its-president-in-9-charts/ …pic.twitter.com/h4PS3UmFPY

        3 replies 2 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        15/Now, it is clear that Trump could get a LOT worse. We haven't yet had an economic crisis, war, or breakdown of social order under Trump! Yet!

        2 replies 0 retweets 16 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        16/The truth, as I see it, is that so far Trump's impact has been mostly symbolic. He has served as a locus for partisan anger and hatred - a symbol of the deep divisions that afflict America.

        5 replies 2 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12

        17/If and when America faces a major economic or geopolitical shock, I don't have confidence in Trump to handle it well...but I guess we'll cross that bridge when we come to it! In the meantime, Trump is less of a leader than a trollish internet meme come to life. (end)

        8 replies 11 retweets 63 likes
        Show this thread
      18. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Devin T. Stewart‏Verified account @devintstewart Oct 12
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Thanks for highlighting my essay. The point of my essay, however, is to describe Trump’s foreign policy style and the cultural shift taking place. I defer to you on the economics.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Devin T. Stewart‏Verified account @devintstewart Oct 12
        Replying to @devintstewart @Noahpinion

        And if the Dems don’t get a broader understanding of these changes, they won’t be able to regain political power.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12
        Replying to @devintstewart

        Changes on foreign policy?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Devin T. Stewart‏Verified account @devintstewart Oct 12
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Changes in the international order. Dems must stop living in the 90s.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12
        Replying to @devintstewart

        Now that's an interesting thesis. I didn't get that from your piece at all! But I kind of agree. Then again, I don't know if foreign policy is that electorally important...

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      7. Devin T. Stewart‏Verified account @devintstewart Oct 12
        Replying to @Noahpinion

        Did you read the whole thing? ;)

        2 replies 1 retweet 1 like
      8. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 12
        Replying to @devintstewart

        Yes

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      9. End of conversation

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