1/I reviewed @reihan Salam's "Melting Pot or Civil War?" for Foreign Affairs:https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/review-essay/2018-10-11/should-america-cut-low-skilled-immigration?gpp=LIdllm9bW3aj3/NdALeqADp1VU0zOS9kaldqMjViQ0xmWUMvRy9Ob2tiaElqMjFJR0Vwcm5rbUtCTEttTVFIT3BUaHpDT3dnUnBOSnlGaGxIOmY1N2FhMTFlNGVhNDE4Njk1YzFjYWIxY2MwMjM1YzA1ZTk1NTc3OWExOWI4N2VlMzhkZTk5YWM1NWU5NGFhNDQ%3D …
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2/This book is the best case for immigration restriction that you're likely to read anytime soon!pic.twitter.com/eudmgtYTYf
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3/Salam's basic case for restricting low-skilled immigration is this: 1. The descendants of low-skilled immigrants will form a permanent economic underclass (thanks in part to automation and globalization). 2. That underclass will lead to racial tensions.pic.twitter.com/XEURW5MujS
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4/Salam's solution: Stop low-skilled immigration and let in high-skilled immigrants instead. They and their descendants will get good jobs and make plenty of money, thus easing their integration with the rest of America and creating a melting pot.pic.twitter.com/xZbKoOZEbr
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5/Salam's argument has three big advantages over the typical restrictionist case: 1. It's not based on racism, overtly or covertly. 2. Salam is extremely well-informed about the facts of the issue. 3. Shifting toward skilled immigration is good policy.pic.twitter.com/ekIcJVrSYZ
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6/BUT, I have some problems with Salam's case. First, the idea that low-skilled immigration will lead to increased racial tensions seems to contradict the experience of anyone who has seen the changes in L.A., San Diego, NYC, Houston, or other immigration-heavy cities.pic.twitter.com/SmUGoyp4aC
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7/Second, low-skilled immigration to the U.S. has already collapsed. Immigrants are increasingly well-educated. So this just doesn't seem like an urgent problem. We took in lots of low-skilled immigrants in the 90s and early 2000s, and what's done is done.pic.twitter.com/nemp14KIuj
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8/Like Reihan, I favor a skills-based immigration system that also allows family reunification, like the one Canada uses. But my case for it relies a lot more on direct economic benefits, and less on prophecies of race war! (end)
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Replying to @Noahpinion
Do we have evidence that low skill immigration causes more social tensions? My impression is that very low skill mass immigration can cause problems, but so can mass high skill immigration (with some intermediate skill level being optimal, partly since that’s where the jobs are).
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Short answer is that we don't know and can't know, but that in the past we have managed what tensions did exist fairly well.
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