I feel like Judis and Teixeira did America a double disservice. By convincing both parties that ethnic bloc voting + demographic destiny = permanent Dem dominance, they made the Dems complacent and the GOP insane and xenophobic.
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Replying to @Noahpinion
I don’t think the timeline matches up. GOP was xenophobic before they came on the scene. Bush’s immigration reform was DOA in 2001. Ppl like Kris Kobach have always had this axe to grind and GOP racial appeals have been standard forever. The Tea Party came among later and pushed
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Replying to @alixabeth
This doesn't seem like an accurate timeline or characterization to me. Bush kept pushing amnesty through to 2006, and even in 2013 there was vigorous intra-GOP debate on whether to try to win Hispanic votes with a compromise on immigration.
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Replying to @Noahpinion @alixabeth
There has always been a xenophobic contingent among the GOP, of course, but polls show significant variation over time:pic.twitter.com/v31sq3RWXX
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Replying to @Noahpinion
This depicts responses to whether immigrants are a burden, which I think is not quite the right data to resolve a dispute about whether immigrants are a threat. Immigrants evolved into a threat in many people’s eyes after 1993 and 9/11, and this was pushed by career xenophobes
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Replying to @alixabeth @Noahpinion
like Brimelow, CIS, etc. The 1996 leg had bipartisan support but it couldn’t have happened without serious GOP xenophobia.
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Replying to @alixabeth @Noahpinion
I don’t need or mean to say there is no significance to J&T. I just don’t think they were pivotal.
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Replying to @alixabeth
Well, yeah. I was using "Judis and Teixeira" as a shorthand for everyone who said Hispanic population growth + ethnic bloc voting = an electoral lock for the Dems. That idea wasn't theirs alone, and I'm sure I could find examples from the 80s and 90s with a quick Google...
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In fact, my (unsubstantiated) guess is that the 2012 election, and the misperception that Hispanics handed the election to Obama, was the key event in setting off a new wave of GOP anti-Hispanic xenophobia. It certainly sparked massive intra-GOP debate about immigration!
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