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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10

      Noah Smith Retweeted Slate

      Yet another article about why demographics will not sweep the Democrats to inevitable crushing permanent dominance.https://twitter.com/Slate/status/1050216885097308160 …

      Noah Smith added,

      SlateVerified account @Slate
      Democrats have been counting on Hispanic voters to save them. It’s not happening. https://slate.trib.al/4hEzu4t  pic.twitter.com/v022TN1TXD
      15 replies 27 retweets 153 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10

      I feel like Judis and Teixeira did America a double disservice. By convincing both parties that ethnic bloc voting + demographic destiny = permanent Dem dominance, they made the Dems complacent and the GOP insane and xenophobic.

      24 replies 38 retweets 243 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen‏ @alixabeth Oct 10
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      J & T did not make the GOP insane and xenophobic

      1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
    4. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
      Replying to @alixabeth

      I think they scared em

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen‏ @alixabeth Oct 10
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      I don’t think the timeline matches up. GOP was xenophobic before they came on the scene. Bush’s immigration reform was DOA in 2001. Ppl like Kris Kobach have always had this axe to grind and GOP racial appeals have been standard forever. The Tea Party came among later and pushed

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
      Replying to @alixabeth

      This doesn't seem like an accurate timeline or characterization to me. Bush kept pushing amnesty through to 2006, and even in 2013 there was vigorous intra-GOP debate on whether to try to win Hispanic votes with a compromise on immigration.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
      Replying to @Noahpinion @alixabeth

      There has always been a xenophobic contingent among the GOP, of course, but polls show significant variation over time:pic.twitter.com/v31sq3RWXX

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    8. Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen‏ @alixabeth Oct 10
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      This depicts responses to whether immigrants are a burden, which I think is not quite the right data to resolve a dispute about whether immigrants are a threat. Immigrants evolved into a threat in many people’s eyes after 1993 and 9/11, and this was pushed by career xenophobes

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    9. Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen‏ @alixabeth Oct 10
      Replying to @alixabeth @Noahpinion

      like Brimelow, CIS, etc. The 1996 leg had bipartisan support but it couldn’t have happened without serious GOP xenophobia.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen‏ @alixabeth Oct 10
      Replying to @alixabeth @Noahpinion

      I don’t need or mean to say there is no significance to J&T. I just don’t think they were pivotal.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
      Replying to @alixabeth

      Well, yeah. I was using "Judis and Teixeira" as a shorthand for everyone who said Hispanic population growth + ethnic bloc voting = an electoral lock for the Dems. That idea wasn't theirs alone, and I'm sure I could find examples from the 80s and 90s with a quick Google...

      8:51 PM - 10 Oct 2018
      • 1 Like
      • Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
          Replying to @Noahpinion @alixabeth

          In fact, my (unsubstantiated) guess is that the 2012 election, and the misperception that Hispanics handed the election to Obama, was the key event in setting off a new wave of GOP anti-Hispanic xenophobia. It certainly sparked massive intra-GOP debate about immigration!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Dr Elizabeth Sacha Baroness Cohen‏ @alixabeth Oct 10
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          If you see that, I’ll be interested. I think anti immigrant public opinion in the GOP has been driven by ppl stoking cultural and economic fear with a side order of security hysteria.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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