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Noahpinion's profile
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
Verified account
@Noahpinion

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Noah SmithVerified account

@Noahpinion

Bloomberg Opinion writer. Elected "top neoliberal shill" of 2018. Occasionally posts anime gifs.

San Francisco, CA
bloomberg.com/view/contribut…
Joined April 2011

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    1. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10

      Noah Smith Retweeted Slate

      Yet another article about why demographics will not sweep the Democrats to inevitable crushing permanent dominance.https://twitter.com/Slate/status/1050216885097308160 …

      Noah Smith added,

      SlateVerified account @Slate
      Democrats have been counting on Hispanic voters to save them. It’s not happening. https://slate.trib.al/4hEzu4t  pic.twitter.com/v022TN1TXD
      15 replies 27 retweets 153 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10

      I feel like Judis and Teixeira did America a double disservice. By convincing both parties that ethnic bloc voting + demographic destiny = permanent Dem dominance, they made the Dems complacent and the GOP insane and xenophobic.

      24 replies 38 retweets 243 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Mike Konczal‏Verified account @rortybomb Oct 10
      Replying to @Noahpinion

      Need more here. Buchanan, a proto-Trump, almost won the GOP in 1992, a decade before Judis/Texieira. The GOP would be on voter suppression and carceralizing immigration no matter what Dem strategists wrote in the early aughts.

      4 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
    4. Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
      Replying to @rortybomb

      I think you're right about voter suppression, but not necessarily about carceralizing (sp?) immigration. George W. Bush took a far different approach in the 00s. Xenophobia did spike in the early 90s but didn't take over the GOP. Now it has.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      Noah Smith‏Verified account @Noahpinion Oct 10
      Replying to @Noahpinion @rortybomb

      Plus, I don't think it was *just* Judis and Teixeira, but a widespread belief and theory that demographics + ethnic bloc voting meant permanent Dem dominance. Plus the misperception that Hispanic voters handed Obama the presidency in 2012.

      8:27 PM - 10 Oct 2018
      • 4 Likes
      • fulano 🍍Tommaso Sciortino🥑 manu saadia 🖖 Tim Duy
      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. Mike Konczal‏Verified account @rortybomb Oct 10
          Replying to @Noahpinion

          Eh, Karl Rove was calling a "permanent Republican majority" in the W. Bush years. Politicos do that. W. Bush's immigration reform was killed by conservatives in his base, a sign of things to come.

          0 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
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        1. Michael Harris‏ @MichaelH_PhD Oct 10
          Replying to @Noahpinion @rortybomb

          Noah, this is slow frog-boiling stuff. The GOP has been on a path of detaching from semi-cynical politics as usual to pure power-grab politics (at any price etc) for decades. I’ve written several times about this (and tagged you, I’m sure).

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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