Yet another article about why demographics will not sweep the Democrats to inevitable crushing permanent dominance.https://twitter.com/Slate/status/1050216885097308160 …
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J & T did not make the GOP insane and xenophobic
I think they scared em
I don’t think the timeline matches up. GOP was xenophobic before they came on the scene. Bush’s immigration reform was DOA in 2001. Ppl like Kris Kobach have always had this axe to grind and GOP racial appeals have been standard forever. The Tea Party came among later and pushed
This doesn't seem like an accurate timeline or characterization to me. Bush kept pushing amnesty through to 2006, and even in 2013 there was vigorous intra-GOP debate on whether to try to win Hispanic votes with a compromise on immigration.
There has always been a xenophobic contingent among the GOP, of course, but polls show significant variation over time:pic.twitter.com/v31sq3RWXX
This depicts responses to whether immigrants are a burden, which I think is not quite the right data to resolve a dispute about whether immigrants are a threat. Immigrants evolved into a threat in many people’s eyes after 1993 and 9/11, and this was pushed by career xenophobes
like Brimelow, CIS, etc. The 1996 leg had bipartisan support but it couldn’t have happened without serious GOP xenophobia.
I mean, I think there was always a xenophobic contingent, and that the early 90s saw a big spike in anti-Hispanic sentiment that seemed to calm down as the decade continued.
Need more here. Buchanan, a proto-Trump, almost won the GOP in 1992, a decade before Judis/Texieira. The GOP would be on voter suppression and carceralizing immigration no matter what Dem strategists wrote in the early aughts.
I think you're right about voter suppression, but not necessarily about carceralizing (sp?) immigration. George W. Bush took a far different approach in the 00s. Xenophobia did spike in the early 90s but didn't take over the GOP. Now it has.
Plus, I don't think it was *just* Judis and Teixeira, but a widespread belief and theory that demographics + ethnic bloc voting meant permanent Dem dominance. Plus the misperception that Hispanic voters handed Obama the presidency in 2012.
Eh, Karl Rove was calling a "permanent Republican majority" in the W. Bush years. Politicos do that. W. Bush's immigration reform was killed by conservatives in his base, a sign of things to come.
Haha. They were always xenophobic, if not in your circles.
There was always a xenophobic contingent, but it was not always dominant, as evidenced by Reagan's amnesty and encouragement of Mexican immigration.
I apologize for conflating different issues. But the GOP 4ank and file I have always known from childhood in IN to adulthood in TX is really quite racist. And that's why i am always baffled when people suggest it hasn't always been in charge. Although i know Reagan!= Goldwater
Anti-black racism has been fairly constant, at least in recent decades, but anti-immigrant xenophobia has had big ups and downs, at least if you believe A) polls, and B) policies.
I dunno, they seemed to me to be racists that could turn on a dime. Anti-black every day, yes, and inventing slurs as needed for Arabs or Hispanics as required by circumstance. This wing was not dominant before Trump, sure, but they were courted by the President and it shows.
I agree with the spirit of this, but how many people (on either side) do we think actually *read* Judis & Teixeira? I skimmed it, but only ‘cause @pklinkne made me do it.
Fair. I was using "Judis and Teixeira" as shorthand for the overall thesis that Hispanic population growth = permanent Dem majority. I know they weren't nearly the only ones saying or thinking this.
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