Noah Smith  Verified account

@Noahpinion

Writes about economics, tweets about rabbits. Check out my Substack:

San Francisco, CA
noahpinion.substack.com
Joined April 2011
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Jan 3

    China's economic woes may give the U.S. a chance to claw back some manufacturing capability. But it's not happening on its own, and it won't happen without a big push.

    4 replies 9 retweets 54 likes
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  2. 23 minutes ago

    Seems like obviously the right move, everyone should have arrived at this conclusion weeks ago!

    Not an original thought here, but there is a very good sweet spot in our politics per the polling for politicians who want to a. push to keep things open. b. push hard for vaccination.
    7 replies 4 retweets 70 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    17 hours ago

    I can’t believe the dominant election reformer take on this is “we shouldn’t reform the law that enabled Trump’s coup and should instead hold out for two bills that were obviously dead months ago”

    NEW: Senate Senate Minority Whip John Thune tells me there's "some interest" among Senate Republicans in reforming an existing federal law —the Electoral Count Act of 1887— to reduce the potential for election subversion.
    43 replies 123 retweets 823 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    34 minutes ago

    A selloff in Treasuries accelerated after minutes from the Fed’s latest meeting were released

    1 reply 3 retweets 5 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    👀 gm & happy 2022! In 2020, we organized the largest decentralized music event in history across 100+ countries. What did we learn? Announcing by : Web3 Artist-owned Distribution Networks.

    3 replies 26 retweets 53 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    Remember what Republican leaders said before amnesia set in. I took notes that night: Mitch McConnell (Jan6): "The mob was fed lies. They were provoked by the president and other powerful people...They tried to disrupt our democracy, they failed…This failed insurrection.” THREAD

    277 replies 6,442 retweets 15,271 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    24 Dec 2021

    39 replies 2,271 retweets 17,243 likes
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  8. 11 hours ago

    And this thread argues that Americans' willingness to participate in political violence is vastly overstated, and people warning about civil war are engaging in "threat inflation". But again: What about the fake electors/disputed election scenario?

    I’ve seen more and more academics and elites say that the U.S. is likely headed towards civil war or secession.* Not only is this wrong, it's also incredibly dangerous. Here's why. 🧵 *See and
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    10 replies 4 retweets 26 likes
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  9. 11 hours ago

    An argument by that the U.S. is headed not for another Civil War, but for decentralization, as after Reconstruction. Problem: The presidency. What happens when the Trumpy states send fake electors?

    12 replies 4 retweets 31 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    19 hours ago

    this is obscene: zoning laws are preventing families from being able to rebuild their homes after a fire for more than 18 months. all across the country, we need to re-examine and repeal these anti-housing laws

    After more than 18 months of stress facing *their homes burning down in a fire*, the complete destruction of their homes, these 8 condo owners are just trying to make a nice building that they can move back into. This isn't about theoretical "housing"; this is *their home*.
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    8 replies 70 retweets 783 likes
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  11. 11 hours ago

    This is bad, right?

    While our attention was diverted by Omicron, FDA approved the viral mutagen molnupiravir (MOV) on the last business day before Christmas. The same time, Merck published that MOV doesn't reduce virus levels in the first 3 days. So patients will be shedding mutated virus for 3 days
    Show this thread
    8 replies 4 retweets 48 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    Jan 4

    At the same time, progressives definitely *are* using Manchin’s alleged opposition to the climate provisions to avoid confronting the fact that, for now, BBB is paralyzed because House and Senate Dems cannot bear to give any of their other interest groups an L. (2/2)

    4 replies 7 retweets 55 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    Our smart immune system with multiple layers of defense and a virus with less intrinsic pathogenicity will help us win the latest variant battle

    51 replies 358 retweets 1,280 likes
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  14. 12 hours ago

    Still not sure China is going to be able to contain Omicron.

    10 replies 5 retweets 37 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    23 hours ago

    I think our current framework for copyright and patents is inverted. Public domain should be the default, not the special case. My reasons here:

    12 replies 55 retweets 210 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    20 hours ago

    Notice from a Shanghai stand-up comedy club: "due to regulatory requirement, English stand-up shows will be paused from Jan 3rd onwards"

    9 replies 45 retweets 134 likes
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  17. 12 hours ago

    Well, if there's one thing Xi Jinping didn't care about, it was stonks.

    Index extends loss to 1.3% to drop below 23,000 mark. Heng Seng Tech Index is slumping more than 4%. heavyweights are leading the loss, with Meituan slumping over 10%, Bilibili down nearly 9%, Tencent down 3.7%.
    5 replies 1 retweet 26 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Jan 4

    The 7-day average of global reported deaths due to Covid-19 fell below 6,000 yesterday for the first time since Oct. 25, 2020.

    17 replies 274 retweets 1,107 likes
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  19. 12 hours ago

    On the topic of Twitter bans, my position is simple: Twitter should ban as many accounts as possible, period. If possible, Twitter should ban ALL Twitter accounts.

    30 replies 57 retweets 747 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    To better understand how local government debt in China grew unchecked over the last two decades, check out 's new paper in The China Journal:

    2 replies 41 retweets 250 likes
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  21. 14 hours ago

    Highly recommend this one

    And "Slouching Towards Utopia" Is a Go..., by SO PLEASE PREORDER IT!!!! Here are two early blurbs: Robert Waldmann: “I remember reading an earlier draft 30 years ago.  You haven't wasted the 30 years.  This book is vastly improved. It is... 1/
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    1 reply 20 likes
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