Rob ArthurOvjeren akaunt

@No_Little_Plans

Independent journalist & data science consultant. Bylines , , , , etc. Formerly & a PhD in genetics.

Chicago, IL
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2014.

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  1. took a look at PECOTA's long-term (10 year) projections. Over the next decade, Graterol and Verdugo project to be worth ~14 WAR, which is less than Betts projects for in the next *two years*. Can't put a price on payroll flexibility though

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  2. What is the use of payroll flexibility if you don't use it to keep someone like Mookie Betts?

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  3. (Not speaking for Brian's results here but I found something similar in looking at attendance trends.)

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  4. That's the crux of the matter--Cubs and Red Sox, among some others, have fanbases that do not respond to noncompetitive behavior by buying fewer tickets. So ownership can make more money by fielding a cheap mediocre team than an excellent expensive one.

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  5. when the SEO goes all wrong

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    We're so lucky to have back, not just at BP, but writing in general. Here's his latest:

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    it’s very clear what the game is here step 1: openly rig elections step 2: shield the offender from political or legal accountability step 3: “win” the rigged election step 4: “We have a mandate from the American people."

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  10. I'll be giving a talk at the Skokie library in a couple of weeks on March Madness. Lots on strategies for building good brackets and why the tournament is so hard to predict.

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  11. Also there are a lot of other great pieces this year that deserve winning. All of the nominees. In fact, you can vote multiple times so why not vote for all of them?

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  12. You should definitely vote for and . I'm also up for an award for the juiced baseball stuff and I've never won an award for that before. I hate advocating for myself but I like winning awards, so consider throwing me a vote.

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    31. sij

    My interview w/. We talked not just her presidential decisions, but her thoughts on the VP speculation abt her, media coverage of her race and much more. (This will also appear in your podcast feed)

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    31. sij
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  16. thread from Bill with a very similar analysis to what I did, finding nearly the same results. All that cheating for ~0 effect.

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  17. it's literally small restaurant buzzers! that's it! it's not like they had to crack cold fusion here! Or they could have just... bought a whistle. Lots of ways to deliver a sneaky signal.

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  18. It's going to continue to be a mystery for a while yet and possibly forever. There are ways of cheating that they could have used (like buzzing bandages) that we'll never be able to test or examine. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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  19. This was a first-pass analysis and I'm really looking forward to getting into the data more and also seeing what insights other people like can pull out of it. There are so many different factors that we shouldn't be surprised if different conclusions are drawn.

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  20. A big complicating factor with any kind of analysis here is that Jose Altuve did not receive the banging signal barely at all and he was one of the Astros' best hitters. Was he really abstaining from the cheating? Or was he receiving the signal a different way? Don't know yet.

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