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NimwegenLab
@NimwegenLab
Loud sobbing reported from under reverend Bayes' grave stone. Seriously, I might use this as an example in my class to show how NOT to do statistics. Note that the CI on specificity includes false positive rates larger than the observed fraction of positives.
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Carl Zimmer
@carlzimmer
Preprint: In Santa Clara County CA, ~2.5-4.1% of residents (48,000- 81,000 people) have had #covid19, based on antibodies. That’s 50-85x the confirmed cases. medrxiv.org/content/10.110
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Chris Adami
@ChristophAdami
Indeed. To calculate Prob( ill | positive test) you need to know disease prevalence. It is not *giving* you disease prevalence. For a test with 99% true pos. and 95% true negs, a disease prevalence of 0.1% gives 98% positives when not actually ill. (Not the same as false pos.)
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John Cavanaugh
@JCalmighty50
I pray you guys are able to find the studies to debunk Santa Clara’s findings because what it’s doing is getting the natives more restless here in the bay area and that’s not good because they will resist and revolt. Cannot stand any more of trumps rhetoric
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Shirley
@shirley42842516
NO YOUR JUST FURIOUS THAT FELLOW ACADEMIA ARE BEING TRUTHFUL WITH FACTS. FACTS THAT PROVE THIS WAS ALL A PLAN DEVISED BY DEMONRATS/WHO/ AND GREATEST COHORT/ CHINA. THEIR GOAL 1# DESTROY TRUMP AT ALL COSTS. 2# CONTROL UNDESIRABLE POPULATION AGE/ COLOR /SOCIO ECO LEVELS (poor).RT
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