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NickSzabo4's profile
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo  🔑
@NickSzabo4

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Nick Szabo  🔑

@NickSzabo4

Blockchain, cryptocurrency, and smart contracts pioneer. (RT/Fav/Follow does not imply endorsement). Blog: http://unenumerated.blogspot.com 

Joined June 2014

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    1. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
      • Report Tweet

      Idiotic ideological nonsense. There's no such thing as unsecured credit with no credit risk.

      1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
    2. Steve Randy Waldman‏ @interfluidity 29 Mar 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NickSzabo4 @GoldTelegraph_

      it is possible a government would fail to repay tokens it can produce at will, but not very likely, which is why sovereign debt in own-currency is general described as credit-risk-free. whether the tokens will have value is a different question, but it is quite rate (though not

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Steve Randy Waldman‏ @interfluidity 29 Mar 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @interfluidity @NickSzabo4 @GoldTelegraph_

      quite RARE (though not entirely unheard of) for governments to default on formal debt obligations if their own scrip.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @interfluidity @GoldTelegraph_

      Inflation is a credit risk, and plenty (probably most) have defaulted in that manner. Using the single most powerful country in the world provides a very skewed statistic.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    5. Steve Randy Waldman‏ @interfluidity 29 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @NickSzabo4 @GoldTelegraph_

      now we are just arguing over definitions. by my (conventional) definition (i wrote the slide to which you object), inflation is NOT credit risk, it is valuation risk. if you want to include valuation risk in your definition of credit risk, ok, but you are not disputing the claim.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @interfluidity @GoldTelegraph_

      You are at this point just confusing your readers with bad propaganda by claiming that a phenomenon roughly under the control of the debtor that can arbitrarily reduce the value of the debt is not a credit risk.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    7. Steve Randy Waldman‏ @interfluidity 29 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @NickSzabo4 @GoldTelegraph_

      no, i’m not. you attended the talk in which that slide was given, you know that valuation risk was not ignored, but was much discussed in that talk. the slide to which you now object addresses a particular historical claim, tgat the USD has been a poor value store. It has not,

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @interfluidity @GoldTelegraph_

      But "no credit risk" usually is not discussed in such a context, it is just used dishonestly as it was in the above use of this lide. And in any context it is an extremely confusing way to artificially constrain the definition of "credit risk."

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @odtorson @interfluidity @GoldTelegraph_

      Indeed, inflation risk, even when attempts are made to hedge it with e.g. an index, comes with the risk that inflation will be measured inaccurately. Such measurement faces fundamental problems such as the subjectivity of preferences.

      10:54 AM - 29 Mar 2018
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
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          Replying to @odtorson @interfluidity @GoldTelegraph_

          The reason is propaganda: to mislead people into ignoring the high risks involved in government debt.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        4. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 29 Mar 2018
          • Report Tweet

          Putting in indexing or interest clauses in non-financial contracts is usually too high transaction cost & error-prone. And many people, especially the most vulnerable, don't hold their $$ in interest-bearing securities, they just hold dollars.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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