Yet #bitcoin security rests on economic incentives and statistics every bit as much as cryptography and computer science.
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Which leads to oversimplification. Will need to shift to complex adaptive mechanisms. Cybernetics more useful than game theory.
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CAS especially important when entities themselves have models of the systems they are in.
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All Economics can do is Rational Expectations theory. This absurdly assumes each entity has same model of system, the one the economist has.
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gametheory does not require speculation, guessing if people follow it does. As a poker player I would say they dont..
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GT & Economics assume so-called rational behaviour. This assumption inappropriate for computational systems because code can be buggy.
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...preference is an adequate basis for reproducibility.
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Also remember that the axioms of Game Theory can derive probability theory and Bayes Theorem. Use prob. to express knowledge of outcomes
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Prob theory is just one among many formalisms for representing uncertainty. Not necessarily the best for any particular application domain.
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Maths of uncertainty studied since 1660s. Prob axioms since 1920s. Still no agreement on semantics of prob statements. Topic is hard.
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interesting. any links to some further info about this?
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We can't do this job. Bitcoin shouldn't need us too. It must be physical not ideological. The specie; the issuance.
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Why would you only speculate about proximate incentives when strategizing?
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Do you think that the incentive model for Bitcoin mining is still intact?
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Are you implying the game theoretic framework for 'proof of stake' is not better than 'proof of work'?
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The maths of game theory also does not scale well. Many players, action-options, payoffs, leads to intractable math.
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And that is even ignoring deep uncertainties, dynamism, etc found in real world.
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