Economic models didn't predict Wikipedia editors or suicide bombers. There is far more to human motivations than economic incentives.
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what I meant was, economic incentives help the individual predict the outcome of their own actions, not an aggregate outcome.
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individuals don't even have perfect knowledge of their own ordinal values until forced to choose...
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so I agree that exact predictions of aggregate outcomes are poor, but we can predict economic trends imo.
End of conversation
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