Long shots happen all the time, but worrying about them is futile. The ones that happen are almost always possibilities few thought of.
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@NickSzabo4 You talking about low prob events or true knightian uncertainty?
@csentropy Knightian uncertainty, which is vastly more common than a predictably low prob. event, but often gets called such in hindsight.
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@NickSzabo4 It appears this "true uncertainty" in the human domain is the result of the existence of free will. What do you think? -
@csentropy Also due to chaos, quantum randomness, and sheer complexity well beyond the ability of mere brains to understand. -
@NickSzabo4 In that case, decentralized autonomy is the fastest way to adopt to an uncertain future. Case against central economic planning
End of conversation
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@NickSzabo4 If future is unpredictable, makes sense that its not a summation of low prob events, but is riddled with knightian uncertaintyThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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