@gwern @cinnamon_carter Linearity is just a good initial way to avoid "and now a miracle occurred" assumptions that plague these debates.
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@gwern@NickSzabo4 If most depend on the previous this is a logical method to begin, at least as a baseline.
@cinnamon_carter @gwern +1 It's just a simple way to formalize the general idea that evolution proceeds gradually, not by miraculous leaps.
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@cinnamon_carter@gwern And follow gradualism all the way back to origins. If anybody has a better model that does that let's hear about it. -
@NickSzabo4@cinnamon_carter There are many distributions more plausible in biology: sigmoids and logistics are all over the place. -
@gwern I have no personal feelings on this subject other than scientific accuracy. May I ask your personal feelings if any ?@NickSzabo4 -
@cinnamon_carter@NickSzabo4 I think it's trash science which is based on obfuscating statistics. I hate bad statistics everywhere I see it. -
@gwern Your replies seem so spirited. If this paper described a football game (hypothetically) your reaction would be the same?@NickSzabo4 -
@cinnamon_carter Football doesn't matter at all, so I'd never bother to take the time to read such a paper, much less criticize it.
End of conversation
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