Nick Szabo  🔑

@gwern @cinnamon_carter Prokaryote-like fossils appear as soon as Earth bombardment ends.

@gwern @cinnamon_carter Thinking about genomic complexity & chemical ability shows effective impossibility life originated then & there.

@NickSzabo4 @cinnamon_carter If it appeared before, how could you ever know? The bombardment censors observations. That was what I meant.

@gwern @cinnamon_carter We should reason from what we know: chemical abilities of metabolisms and the genomic complexities those require.

@NickSzabo4 @cinnamon_carter Which we don't know. How many different distinct theories and metabolisms are there now?

@NickSzabo4 @cinnamon_carter Given the inability o specify even what the metabolism *was*, how can bounds on complexity be estimated?

@NickSzabo4 @cinnamon_carter Reminded of the Creationists: 'it would be very improbable for X/Y/Z to all occur!' Yes, that particular way...

@gwern @cinnamon_carter OMG. You are pulling the same stunt you just blamed the paper authors for. "Argument ad creatonists".