Shallow safety vs. deep safety: Shallow: estimated from volatility, assumes nothing goes wrong at lower layers of the protocol stack Deep: what happens to your assets upon underlying failures? e.g. how would your digitally centralized assets fare against sanctions or cyberwar?
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Digitally centralized assets have poor deep safety. They were designed in & only work in a legally stable environment. Real estate & gold have deeper safety, assuming strong local security. Trust-minimized Bitcoin uses computer science to achieve unprecedentedly deep safety.
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Digital centralization has made it possible, for the first time in history, for authorities to routinely extract haircuts and "negative interest". Some countries in Europe have already used these techniques against digitally centralized cash balances.
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At the behest of political activists, digitally centralized financial services have frozen accounts and cut off access to a wide variety of people based on their political views.
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In a deep or prolonged recession, attacks by technocratic authorities & political activists against digitally centralized assets will increase in volume & scope. Other forms of political or legal instability could also lower the safety of digitally centralized assets.
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Replying to @NickSzabo4
Nick would you consider bitcoin held on an exchange just another form of a digital centralized asset with shallow safety? But what about bitcoin held in a wallet like Bitgo? Would that be shallow safety too? What’s the best way to achieve deep safety while holding your bitcoin?
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Crypto kept on a centralized exchange has even worse deep safety than that of digital centralization in the financial industry.
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