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NickSzabo4's profile
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo 🔑
Nick Szabo  🔑
@NickSzabo4

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Nick Szabo  🔑

@NickSzabo4

Blockchain, cryptocurrency, and smart contracts pioneer. (RT/Fav/Follow does not imply endorsement). Blog: http://unenumerated.blogspot.com 

Joined June 2014

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    Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Aug 12
    • Report Tweet

    Nick Szabo  🔑 Retweeted Bloomberg

    Multi-causal (as usual) with three main causes: * More regulation --> more inflation, both due to direct costs of regulation and regulatory capture * More government subsidy --> more inflation * Global trade --> competition & productivity growth vs. locally constrained serviceshttps://twitter.com/business/status/1157757803139915780 …

    Nick Szabo  🔑 added,

    BloombergVerified account @business
    Economists are completely mystified by this chart. These things have become cheaper over time: 🥘 Food 👖 Clothing 🚗 Cars 🎧 Electronics While these things have soared in price: 💊 Health care 🍼 Child care 🎓 Education https://bloom.bg/31hn2GQ  via @bopinion pic.twitter.com/jfU6p56nez
    5:29 PM - 12 Aug 2019
    • 195 Retweets
    • 608 Likes
    • Badrani Deepak M. Kathayat Kyle Arad Der-Monte-is-back FALKRUM zaid.rehman1 Randolphe George van Houts
    30 replies 195 retweets 608 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Ruminative Orangutan‏ @Ruminorang Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4

        That last one is a little baumolly... in that the nature of the service precludes a pattern of rapidly increasing productivity you'd see with manufactured goods

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @Ruminorang

        The third, the ability to import, makes it more immune to the first two: call it regulatory escape instead of regulatory capture. AFAIK that was not Baumol's explanation.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. End of conversation
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      2. Robert Kowal 💪#SilniRazem ✊‏ @kowalskr Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4

        Biggest effect: Baumol’s cost disease Health care, child care, edu = local labor-intensive, hard to automate — wages in these sectors rise as other sectors get more productive, but productivity lags due to labor-intensity Costs rise; TFP rises less https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol%27s_cost_disease …

        3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Nick Szabo  🔑‏ @NickSzabo4 Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @kowalskr

        Education is easy to automate, official or branded certification is not.

        2 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
      4. Emanuele Cisbani‏ @emanuelecisbani Aug 13
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4 @kowalskr

        There is a very important part of education related to human relation. I cannot imagine the result of an automated education, lacking that aspect. In any case it could be not preferable.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      5. Robert Kowal 💪#SilniRazem ✊‏ @kowalskr Aug 13
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @emanuelecisbani @NickSzabo4

        I get it, but I strongly agree with @NickSzabo4 - I think it’s really nuanced which elements/ages of ed can be automated Again we see eg K-12 ed („factory style XIXth C. ed..) as benchmark when it’s an aberration MOOCs, web, info’s out there — so much ed can be automated

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Robert Kowal 💪#SilniRazem ✊‏ @kowalskr Aug 13
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @kowalskr @emanuelecisbani @NickSzabo4

        But because it „can be” doesnt mean it has been Eg higher ed will get disrupted High school too Earlier ages I feel need more discipline & learning in a community setting Vocational also needs humans Either way: it’ll be more automated next 10-15 yrs

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. zooko‏ @zooko Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4 @drethelin

        As I learned from EconTalk, well-intentioned government intervention usually consists of subsidizing demand and constricting supply.

        1 reply 2 retweets 31 likes
      3. 1 more reply
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      2. Giacomo Zucco [I identify as a -e^iπ vampire]‏ @giacomozucco Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4

        There's a collective name for all three those causes though: government. So, you may say it's pretty much single-cause. :)

        2 replies 1 retweet 21 likes
      3. Eric Voskuil‏ @evoskuil Aug 13
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @giacomozucco @NickSzabo4

        Regulation is a tax, subsidy comes from tax. Tax shifts and reduces production. The shift can create no more inflation in one sector than deflation in another. Reduced production reduces goods, which is inflationary. Seigniorage is also a tax. So yes, it’s just tax.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Eric Voskuil‏ @evoskuil Aug 13
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @evoskuil @giacomozucco @NickSzabo4

        Price inflation/deflation is merely a change to the money relation (money to demand for goods in the money). With market money, the consumption of goods in production of the money offsets the new money, preserving the relation. So... increased demand for goods, or seigniorage.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Eric Voskuil‏ @evoskuil Aug 13
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @evoskuil @giacomozucco @NickSzabo4

        The only non-tax causes would be (1) non-tax changes to individual demand for goods in the money (demand), as in a shift to an alternate money, or (2) rate of efficiency gains in money production in excess of the growth rate in production of goods available in the money (supply).

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. Dirk Vandekerkhove‏ @Dividerca Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4

        So basically everything that's been outsourced to foreign countries is deflationary...

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. ergin selim gonen‏ @selimgonen Aug 14
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        Replying to @NickSzabo4 @naval

        * Increasing income inequality between educated and uneducated increases the cost of being uneducated, or parents' willingness to pay for education.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Lucas Crown‏ @SynphZ Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4 @naval

        and most media stays quiet about it, as the globe is heading full force into the next recession and collapse

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Lucas Crown‏ @SynphZ Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4 @naval

        @paranoidbull

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      1. Aaron Markowitz‏ @fight4Earth Aug 12
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @NickSzabo4

        No wonder I’m in debt.

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      1. Steve Gardner‏ @SteveJGardner Aug 13
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        Replying to @NickSzabo4 @naval

        Electronics get cheaper due to Moore’s law and the advancement of chip technology and competition over component pieces. Child care could easily become cheaper (I had an idea about this the other day—male centric startups haven’t disrupted this space).

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